Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 171.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc17130b846d8328b364b9ba23af780d2725dd0ad231f96688dc52de51993b279
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $435,619
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $437,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $435,619 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2635…5408backed Under | 50c | 419,524$211,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211,318.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Over | 50c | 250,000$123,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126,250 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Over | 50c | 97,288$48,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,389.11 | 128 | 53.1%68 W · 60 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 27,644$13,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,903.15 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 49c | 22,222$10,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,333.22 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,080 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Over | 49c | 7,000$3,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,570 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Over | 49c | 4,160$2,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,121.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Over | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 51c | 2,959$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.75 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Over | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb12…5d4fbacked Over | 60c | 1,250$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Over | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 151 | 24.5%37 W · 114 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under | 51c | 499.67$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.83 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 43cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Over | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2663…b0bbbacked Under | 50c | 91$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 171.5this page
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. St. John's Red StormAlabama Crimson Tide won
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 170.5Over won
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-5.5)Alabama Crimson Tide won
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-6.5)Alabama Crimson Tide won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.