Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. St. John's Red Storm
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb35890d07d17541b5f48101d980af1678af468b07a63fbf97f18eaf068009fdf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alabama Crimson Tideof Alabama Crimson Tide, St. John's Red Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,452
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 43c | 5,194$2,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,960.91 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked St. John's Red Storm | 65c | 2,002$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.24 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed St. John's Red Storm | 46c | 1,840$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.86 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked St. John's Red Storm | 67c | 1,496$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 42c | 710.25$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.08 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 36c | 694.44$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.44 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked St. John's Red Storm | 66c | 642$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.72 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed St. John's Red Storm | 57c | 371.16$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.56 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked St. John's Red Storm | 66c | 330$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked St. John's Red Storm | 60c | 223.67$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.2 | 151 | 24.5%37 W · 114 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 31c | 213.06$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.94 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 56c | 176.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.93 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 72c | 168.24$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.11 | 190 | 57.4%109 W · 81 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked St. John's Red Storm | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked St. John's Red Storm | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 254 | 38.2%97 W · 157 L | -14.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa68f…4663backed St. John's Red Storm | 47c | 136.26$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 51c | 123.01$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.68 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 31c | 123$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.87 | 132 | 27.3%36 W · 96 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 51c | 116.36$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.32 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d6…13cdbacked St. John's Red Storm | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9a…7991backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 71c | 90$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…714dbacked St. John's Red Storm | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…40a5backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 73c | 75.34$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 61c | 75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +7.4wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed St. John's Red Storm | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed St. John's Red Storm | 39c | 42.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed St. John's Red Storm | 46c | 39.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…1323backed St. John's Red Storm | 42c | 36.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed St. John's Red Storm | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…91acbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked St. John's Red Storm | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. St. John's Red Stormthis page
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 170.5Over won
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 171.5Over won
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-5.5)Alabama Crimson Tide won
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-6.5)Alabama Crimson Tide won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.