College Football · resolved market
Spread: Ole Miss (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf7e708513bf79fefe79f090f9fe00c7d9632f8cd3744d027a13c4a261ebfbb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ole Missof Ole Miss, South Carolina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $455,432
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $455,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $455,432 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Ole Miss | 52c | 410,444$213,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197,012.96 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed South Carolina | 48c | 367,212$176,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176,465.67 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed South Carolina | 48c | 23,500$11,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,280 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed South Carolina | 48c | 19,967$9,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,584.33 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked South Carolina | 51c | 6,410$3,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,269.07 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Ole Miss | 50c | 5,039$2,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,521.19 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Ole Miss | 51c | 5,020$2,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,435 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed South Carolina | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed South Carolina | 49c | 2,505$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.45 | 290 | 55.2%160 W · 130 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Ole Miss | 50c | 2,117$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.5 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74b4…0131backed South Carolina | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6664…e69ebacked South Carolina | 49c | 1,800$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4539…242abacked South Carolina | 49c | 1,700$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed Ole Miss | 50c | 1,300$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9c…6783backed Ole Miss | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…2e0ebacked Ole Miss | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3210…458ebacked Ole Miss | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Ole Miss | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked South Carolina | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd887…bbf3backed South Carolina | 49c | 900$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4238…84f4backed Ole Miss | 51c | 850$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…4f34backed Ole Miss | 51c | 850$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…1866backed South Carolina | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…5c7abacked Ole Miss | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9549…81a2backed South Carolina | 49c | 750$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602b…ea56backed Ole Miss | 51c | 700$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b2…5051backed Ole Miss | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64dd…ff48backed Ole Miss | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ole Miss | 49c | 569.76$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.06 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf34f…1471backed Ole Miss | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Ole Miss | 51c | 491.29$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.29 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d25…3112backed South Carolina | 49c | 450$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Ole Miss | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 174 | 50%87 W · 87 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed South Carolina | 48c | 209.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2663…b0bbbacked Ole Miss | 52c | 204$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…9748backed Ole Miss | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Ole Miss | 52c | 190.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.57 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked South Carolina | 48c | 165.24$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.32 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9d…b033backed South Carolina | 51c | 160$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Ole Miss | 50c | 100.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.02 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Ole Miss | 32c | 100.04$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.03 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed South Carolina | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28aa…1f44backed Ole Miss | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Ole Miss | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Ole Miss | 49c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 241 | 57.3%138 W · 103 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed South Carolina | 49c | 39.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc47e…8ae4backed Ole Miss | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc11e…eb97backed South Carolina | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…d849backed South Carolina | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed South Carolina | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x608c…be6cbacked Ole Miss | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1da…d3c7backed Ole Miss | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Ole Miss (-12.5)this page
- O/U 54.5Under won
- South Carolina vs. Ole MissOle Miss won
- South Carolina vs. Ole Miss: O/U 55.5Under won
- Spread: Ole Miss (-13.5)Ole Miss won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.