College Football · resolved market
South Carolina vs. Ole Miss: O/U 55.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3653f5b51579982b273a3b260f072b11fdc998348414f06ff5ac2b893d2cdae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,471
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4539…242abacked Under | 49c | 1,750$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6664…e69ebacked Under | 49c | 1,600$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…2e0ebacked Under | 49c | 1,450$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3210…458ebacked Over | 51c | 1,250$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9c…6783backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf34f…1471backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74b4…0131backed Over | 51c | 900$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4238…84f4backed Under | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…4f34backed Over | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd887…bbf3backed Under | 49c | 765$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x602b…ea56backed Under | 49c | 700$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…1866backed Under | 49c | 630$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64dd…ff48backed Over | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d25…3112backed Over | 51c | 565$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…5c7abacked Over | 51c | 550$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9549…81a2backed Over | 51c | 530$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 48c | 509$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.68 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b2…5051backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…fb15backed Over | 50c | 61.14$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…0ae4backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- South Carolina vs. Ole Miss: O/U 55.5this page
- O/U 54.5Under won
- South Carolina vs. Ole MissOle Miss won
- Spread: Ole Miss (-12.5)Ole Miss won
- Spread: Ole Miss (-13.5)Ole Miss won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.