TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Alex de Minaur

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bublikof Bublik, Minaur
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$723,279
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$750,733

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $723,279 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 470 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7606…2836backed Minaur56c169,803$95,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95,089.687857.7%45 W · 33 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Bublik44c148,223$65,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83,004.8914345.5%65 W · 78 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+0.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0584…de3ebacked Bublik46c32,391$14,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,641.281428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-45.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Bublik38c32,000$12,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,76066949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Minaur54c29,516$15,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,938.652850%14 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd123…d341backed Minaur55c26,823$14,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,652.4724841.5%103 W · 145 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Bublik44c25,232$11,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,129.919137.4%34 W · 57 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c73…257cbacked Minaur56c19,636$11,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,036.79650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Bublik67c15,424$10,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,117.4910845.4%49 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Bublik42c15,264$6,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,863.6616644.6%74 W · 92 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa576…89a4backed Bublik45c14,500$6,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,912.972441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bublik32c10,295$3,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,028.6824544.9%110 W · 135 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Bublik44c10,000$4,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,633.344930.6%15 W · 34 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-39.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed Bublik45c10,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,499.996036.7%22 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Minaur55c9,772$5,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,387.161,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e9f…7d7fbacked Bublik38c8,500$3,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,249.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Minaur56c8,036$4,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,515.8364755.2%357 W · 290 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b21…933cbacked Minaur71c7,945$5,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,668.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed Minaur64c7,813$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7972…594fbacked Bublik46c7,610$3,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,109.2913260.6%80 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Minaur51c7,431$3,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,816.4511,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2be4…01adbacked Bublik51c6,000$3,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9626747.8%32 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b3…49f8backed Bublik26c5,994$1,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,432.1219835.4%70 W · 128 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb23…6c30backed Minaur55c5,474$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0004740.4%19 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-24.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Minaur54c5,370$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,899.7719241.1%79 W · 113 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Minaur55c5,000$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,75016825%42 W · 126 L-14.2wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-39.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed Bublik45c4,898$2,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,680.8512949.6%64 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed Minaur33c4,596$1,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,513.3415436.4%56 W · 98 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Bublik45c4,444$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,444.437152.1%37 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bee…ca01backed Bublik47c4,099$1,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,190.5512050%60 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe887…05cabacked Bublik39c4,017$1,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,435.262100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Minaur55c4,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.9944360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed Minaur55c3,660$2,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,013.1812231.1%38 W · 84 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9794…1d5fbacked Minaur55c3,612$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Bublik44c3,600$1,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0167147.9%34 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x671a…4541backed Minaur56c3,572$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003265.6%21 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Bublik25c3,554$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,683.3915048%72 W · 78 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Bublik49c3,543$1,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,822.6221147.9%101 W · 110 L-16.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Bublik34c2,965$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,968.736,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Minaur59c2,804$1,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,643.685448.1%26 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb79f…0791backed Bublik45c2,551$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,403.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Minaur56c2,500$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4003441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Bublik43c2,483$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,404.1622037.7%83 W · 137 L+1.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Minaur64c2,465$1,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,575.638,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x188d…d55fbacked Bublik44c2,440$1,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Minaur54c2,298$1,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.371,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Bublik46c2,224$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,209.1513935.3%49 W · 90 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Bublik45c2,220$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,220.9917823%41 W · 137 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd317…526cbacked Bublik45c2,211$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,216.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Minaur2c2,036$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4071857.7%414 W · 304 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3e4…5bf6backed Minaur54c2,025$1,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,093.4520653.4%110 W · 96 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed32…20d6backed Minaur56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1201258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3349…c0b8backed Minaur56c2,000$1,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,126.4311852.5%62 W · 56 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked Minaur54c1,900$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02614549%71 W · 74 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92f1…9b81backed Minaur56c1,900$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0633336.4%12 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb26a…48dabacked Minaur48c1,885$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9031643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Minaur56c1,786$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Bublik44c1,765$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.5317850.6%90 W · 88 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffaa…7fd4backed Bublik46c1,743$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943.484628.3%13 W · 33 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-39.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7fb6…da3ebacked Minaur55c1,612$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.62420.8%5 W · 19 L-5.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid+9.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Bublik45c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8258640.7%35 W · 51 L+8.4wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+60.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Minaur78c1,500$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.997375.3%55 W · 18 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a4b…002bbacked Bublik45c1,435$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.78875%6 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+47%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Minaur56c1,413$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.9565242.8%279 W · 373 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c17…de2bbacked Minaur60c1,402$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.317957%45 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5c…48f9backed Bublik44c1,400$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77815447.4%73 W · 81 L+14.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe4b1…a75ebacked Bublik46c1,385$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.654831.3%15 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked Bublik43c1,370$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.8933352.6%175 W · 158 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d8b…3047backed Bublik46c1,365$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.225450%27 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe766…404dbacked Bublik44c1,356$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.197342.5%31 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x61ac…5577backed Bublik43c1,354$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.791163.6%7 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.33per pick30cpaid+137%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2ef5…39edbacked Bublik45c1,326$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.0425722.2%57 W · 200 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9769…7cd7backed Minaur54c1,312$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.031233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x641f…942bbacked Minaur54c1,300$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7029257.6%53 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee38…7920backed Bublik22c1,300$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0141546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d06…d48ebacked Minaur55c1,273$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick28cpaid-77.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd48d…5182backed Bublik46c1,227$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.7424558.8%144 W · 101 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Bublik46c1,217$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.394555.6%25 W · 20 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+33.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x46f1…7295backed Bublik72c1,210$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.4718663.4%118 W · 68 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd4…ce48backed Bublik46c1,170$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.579742.3%41 W · 56 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Minaur33c1,152$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37619131.4%60 W · 131 L+0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9844…5e6cbacked Minaur62c1,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3520…f128backed Bublik36c1,000$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6405362.3%33 W · 20 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+24.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Minaur55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55022737.4%85 W · 142 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Minaur54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54010060%60 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Bublik35c965.52$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.9813435.1%47 W · 87 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3461…4629backed Minaur35c960$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.62450%12 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8de5…e957backed Minaur54c944.57$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.079452.1%49 W · 45 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bublik44c937$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.721,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ab7…41bbbacked Minaur55c900$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81ea…6781backed Minaur55c900$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3be8…cb92backed Minaur55c851$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbf5…e611backed Minaur14c806.06$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.972729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Bublik48c804.79$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.2859151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56de…bc32backed Bublik41c804.6$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.272254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-6.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Minaur61c804.11$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48824844.8%111 W · 137 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bc1…ad92backed Minaur55c801$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Bublik45c800$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44481938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb26…e8f1backed Minaur55c800$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Minaur54c799.99$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.996046.7%28 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.