College Football · resolved market
Texas State vs. Louisiana
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69968f6c545afe581c4474f4986681a122d986ccde53874c94c0de2846a0804b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Louisianaof Texas State, Louisiana
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,366,051
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,383,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,366,051 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Texas State | 62c | 1,065,996$663,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663,344.08 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Louisiana | 38c | 429,465$163,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265,481.39 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Louisiana | 55c | 172,609$94,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,013.24 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Louisiana | 37c | 102,023$37,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,274.29 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Louisiana | 37c | 70,000$25,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,100 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Louisiana | 39c | 47,059$18,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,848.2 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Louisiana | 38c | 46,281$17,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,721.49 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Louisiana | 38c | 45,608$17,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,381.51 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Texas State | 26c | 45,000$11,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,850 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed Louisiana | 40c | 36,078$14,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,698.88 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Louisiana | 38c | 30,000$11,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,700 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Louisiana | 38c | 29,250$11,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,040 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Louisiana | 37c | 22,222$8,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,999.86 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Louisiana | 41c | 16,494$6,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,731.21 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Louisiana | 47c | 15,505$7,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,203.08 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Louisiana | 38c | 10,134$3,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,282.08 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Texas State | 13c | 10,005$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.68 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Louisiana | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,300 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Louisiana | 49c | 9,720$4,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,987.95 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Texas State | 60c | 7,658$4,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,575.5 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Texas State | 59c | 7,318$4,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,317.62 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe651…8764backed Texas State | 29c | 5,178$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.62 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 38cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Louisiana | 38c | 5,135$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,191.15 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Louisiana | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Louisiana | 38c | 3,800$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,356 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Louisiana | 38c | 3,500$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,170 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Louisiana | 38c | 3,183$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960.03 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Louisiana | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…cc07backed Louisiana | 42c | 1,800$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bb…c8acbacked Texas State | 58c | 1,800$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Texas State | 59c | 1,800$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.88 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Texas State | 1c | 1,780$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Louisiana | 38c | 1,645$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.9 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Texas State | 22c | 1,426$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.48 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Texas State | 19c | 1,413$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.53 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb0…2fd8backed Louisiana | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Louisiana | 54c | 1,228$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.27 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Louisiana | 41c | 1,209$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.12 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Texas State | 56c | 1,138$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.51 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Louisiana | 80c | 991.73$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.45 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Louisiana | 38c | 974$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.88 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Louisiana | 38c | 921$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.02 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Louisiana | 40c | 902.37$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.4 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Louisiana | 41c | 850.34$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.7 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaabc…a190backed Texas State | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x818f…58cbbacked Louisiana | 59c | 825$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Louisiana | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.47 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf2…a258backed Texas State | 58c | 520$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x206b…2370backed Louisiana | 42c | 520$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Louisiana | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Texas State | 10c | 422.97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.24 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9d…b033backed Louisiana | 39c | 380.14$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.79 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2457…54acbacked Texas State | 46c | 363.22$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Texas State | 59c | 352$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.68 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed Louisiana | 38c | 350$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcae9…a216backed Texas State | 44c | 349.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Louisiana | 38c | 348.39$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55f1…84c0backed Louisiana | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…655fbacked Texas State | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Texas State | 15c | 280.62$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed Louisiana | 43c | 278.7$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.7 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9a…a56fbacked Texas State | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0535…75ccbacked Louisiana | 38c | 220$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Louisiana | 40c | 199.97$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.98 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Louisiana | 40c | 199.96$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.98 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd5…1306backed Louisiana | 40c | 199.96$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.98 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Louisiana | 67c | 194.59$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.79 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Louisiana | 54c | 184.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.41 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd02e…c75fbacked Texas State | 58c | 177$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd364…b8eebacked Louisiana | 42c | 176$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…493abacked Louisiana | 42c | 176$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6deb…3d4ebacked Texas State | 58c | 175$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Texas State | 58c | 164.31$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.28 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Texas State | 34c | 160$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2663…b0bbbacked Louisiana | 38c | 154$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48dd…1d79backed Texas State | 9c | 152.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc862…755fbacked Louisiana | 59c | 151.69$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.29 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Texas State | 59c | 126$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.34 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…a69fbacked Louisiana | 53c | 112.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec8…eaefbacked Texas State | 62c | 104$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.48 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Louisiana | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…3210backed Louisiana | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Louisiana | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81d4…0c51backed Texas State | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Louisiana | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Texas State | 60c | 99.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x597c…2607backed Louisiana | 41c | 66.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d89…3e65backed Louisiana | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1edd…bbe3backed Texas State | 58c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733c…b527backed Louisiana | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65bd…ce96backed Louisiana | 42c | 59.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a7…bb3ebacked Louisiana | 43c | 56.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +133%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf212…6ca1backed Louisiana | 41c | 55.21$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe286…6896backed Louisiana | 66c | 51.47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.43per pick | 40cpaid | +110.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…3403backed Louisiana | 43c | 51.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Louisiana | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 241 | 57.3%138 W · 103 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Louisiana | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…dd19backed Texas State | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…060fbacked Louisiana | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681f…ca51backed Texas State | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas State vs. Louisianathis page
- O/U 64.5Over won
- Spread: Texas State (-3.5)Louisiana won
- Texas State vs. Louisiana: O/U 63.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.