Fifa International · resolved market
Will Cambodia win on 2025-11-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1a936654a4cc54a314780d7de43af1ddc80dc0dacb2c1a3691c89a1059469eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,854
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,854 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 17c | 4,085$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.57 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 11c | 2,277$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.44 | 176 | 29%51 W · 125 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…3965backed Yes | 17c | 1,116$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 14c | 999.98$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Yes | 11c | 999.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 8c | 510$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 259 | 54.8%142 W · 117 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc862…755fbacked Yes | 11c | 455.3$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…3308backed Yes | 9c | 324.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6775…17efbacked Yes | 17c | 291.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 11c | 261.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…0af2backed Yes | 15c | 251.15$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 62 | 12.9%8 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5032…d300backed Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Yes | 11c | 245.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…fdb5backed Yes | 16c | 225.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…904abacked Yes | 17c | 200.35$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…e630backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0e…46d7backed Yes | 9c | 139$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7982…86c4backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1406…7683backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffa…344cbacked Yes | 17c | 93.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d8…11babacked Yes | 12c | 88.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cambodia win on 2025-11-13?this page
- Will Hong Kong SAR vs. Cambodia end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Hong Kong SAR win on 2025-11-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.