Tennis · resolved market
Hellenic Championship: Stan Wawrinka vs Lorenzo Musetti
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9bb868841b34c5fa558de205be158aacf35a0c77407c07060a0b35321ca865ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Musettiof Wawrinka, Musetti
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $291,323
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $321,162
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $291,323 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Wawrinka | 35c | 26,743$9,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,332.63 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Musetti | 60c | 17,500$10,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,000.01 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wawrinka | 27c | 15,843$4,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,309.16 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7606…2836backed Musetti | 75c | 11,360$8,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,813.66 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7355…9443backed Musetti | 71c | 7,678$5,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,264.33 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Wawrinka | 15c | 7,201$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.16 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wawrinka | 26c | 6,289$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643.03 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…7c0abacked Wawrinka | 10c | 4,500$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Wawrinka | 43c | 4,461$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910.5 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Musetti | 55c | 4,000$2,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ced…12b2backed Wawrinka | 22c | 4,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Wawrinka | 42c | 3,899$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,635.3 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Wawrinka | 24c | 3,661$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Musetti | 55c | 3,656$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655.61 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Wawrinka | 33c | 3,553$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.88 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Wawrinka | 50c | 3,390$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,695 | 600 | 55.7%334 W · 266 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wawrinka | 26c | 3,113$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.71 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7266…1affbacked Wawrinka | 18c | 3,100$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…5c4bbacked Wawrinka | 18c | 2,790$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Musetti | 55c | 2,606$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.25 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -16.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Musetti | 78c | 2,552$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.73 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Wawrinka | 8c | 2,547$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.25 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Wawrinka | 17c | 2,500$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.71 | 226 | 29.2%66 W · 160 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b85…e867backed Wawrinka | 18c | 2,060$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…6549backed Wawrinka | 11c | 2,036$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.26 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Musetti | 58c | 2,000$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.69 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked Musetti | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.75 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Musetti | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 600 | 53.8%323 W · 277 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Musetti | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.1 | 100 | 60%60 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Musetti | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Wawrinka | 17c | 2,000$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.99 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904d…779bbacked Wawrinka | 18c | 1,800$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…b287backed Wawrinka | 7c | 1,755$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.15 | 83 | 13.3%11 W · 72 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ed…e937backed Wawrinka | 18c | 1,699$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.85 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.41per pick | 43cpaid | +150.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Musetti | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e1…f235backed Wawrinka | 18c | 1,630$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed Musetti | 59c | 1,599$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.66 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Musetti | 63c | 1,598$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.43 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Wawrinka | 26c | 1,513$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 248 | 44.8%111 W · 137 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Wawrinka | 39c | 1,426$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 465 | 56.1%261 W · 204 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Wawrinka | 18c | 1,400$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Wawrinka | 41c | 1,380$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.77 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2eb…bff9backed Wawrinka | 9c | 1,132$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Musetti | 60c | 1,124$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.2 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Wawrinka | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +7.6wins | +0.23per pick | 31cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Wawrinka | 44c | 1,031$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.32 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Wawrinka | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Wawrinka | 18c | 999.94$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57dd…6ab4backed Wawrinka | 16c | 956.05$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Musetti | 59c | 925.22$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.34 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb2…6b94backed Wawrinka | 10c | 912.06$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.54 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…5845backed Wawrinka | 8c | 880.19$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Wawrinka | 38c | 779.03$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.58 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Musetti | 60c | 775$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.25 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Musetti | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.06 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +5.3wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Musetti | 64c | 600.81$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.29 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Musetti | 57c | 562.28$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.28 | 519 | 33.1%172 W · 347 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Musetti | 74c | 538$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.34 | 178 | 67.4%120 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Musetti | 56c | 537.14$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.14 | 134 | 35.1%47 W · 87 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72e0…9fc1backed Musetti | 64c | 536.99$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.84 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf67c…2f87backed Wawrinka | 49c | 536.73$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216a…9380backed Musetti | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Wawrinka | 9c | 500$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 191 | 31.4%60 W · 131 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Musetti | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Wawrinka | 18c | 488$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.84 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b6…bc8abacked Wawrinka | 19c | 484.18$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Wawrinka | 43c | 468.35$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.71 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Wawrinka | 34c | 432$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.42 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Musetti | 55c | 429.11$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.1 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…0004backed Wawrinka | 19c | 400$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Musetti | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 284 | 51.1%145 W · 139 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Wawrinka | 7c | 399.77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Wawrinka | 27c | 383.65$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +12%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6809…b188backed Wawrinka | 18c | 366.94$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 82 | 69.5%57 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9d…5eb1backed Musetti | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb75d…9d01backed Musetti | 69c | 339.91$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.87 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad1e…6b90backed Musetti | 80c | 337.5$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.54 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c8…9751backed Wawrinka | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Musetti | 65c | 328$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.79 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…f4f4backed Wawrinka | 37c | 314.59$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.51 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Musetti | 79c | 305.95$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.25 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Musetti | 57c | 287.67$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.71 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5739…e4dcbacked Musetti | 61c | 271.48$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.88 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b08…dd56backed Wawrinka | 7c | 260$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Musetti | 78c | 259.12$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.01 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaab…24ddbacked Musetti | 62c | 258.73$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.03 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…a883backed Wawrinka | 17c | 250$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b1…c973backed Musetti | 60c | 249.18$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.18 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +6.3wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x95bc…af59backed Wawrinka | 21c | 247.14$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…f246backed Wawrinka | 8c | 242.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Wawrinka | 18c | 234.85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.27 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…d34cbacked Wawrinka | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x787c…7ae2backed Musetti | 70c | 214.82$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.3 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ff…1417backed Wawrinka | 18c | 210$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d37…59b5backed Wawrinka | 45c | 208.29$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.73 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…9d86backed Musetti | 46c | 206.52$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Wawrinka | 23c | 203.92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 278 | 36.3%101 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad10…c665backed Musetti | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8c…ad4bbacked Wawrinka | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +67%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…c3e1backed Wawrinka | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.