TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: paiN vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
paiNof paiN, B8
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$301,590
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$388,986

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $301,590 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5877…d894backed paiN53c64,630$34,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,079.597943%34 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked B846c29,995$13,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,797.6839249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed paiN52c22,270$11,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,689.741649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed B848c19,990$9,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,589.0567041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked B848c17,937$8,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,572.836160.7%37 W · 24 L+8.6wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+28.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed paiN52c10,699$5,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,121.5172453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed B847c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,70016449.4%81 W · 83 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed B847c9,574$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5002462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+25.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed paiN53c9,215$4,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,349.4311758.1%68 W · 49 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked B810c7,377$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.862,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfadd…3955backed paiN61c6,712$4,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,612.138052.5%42 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc8d…3427backed B847c5,659$2,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,659.59666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa69d…509bbacked paiN51c5,597$2,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,732.1719757.4%113 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed B847c5,288$2,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,485.346243.3%200 W · 262 L+1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed paiN52c5,097$2,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,468.3871645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3926…7e9ebacked B865c4,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,600.022832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-24.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed B847c3,040$1,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,428.824846.8%116 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked B848c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00025751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc192…086cbacked B848c2,000$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.1427530.9%85 W · 190 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ef5…39edbacked B848c1,880$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.1811631.9%37 W · 79 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed B838c1,861$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70061338.2%234 W · 379 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed B848c1,858$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.7757647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked B847c1,660$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78023952.3%125 W · 114 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked paiN39c1,574$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.717,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed B850c1,514$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.7619549.7%97 W · 98 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed paiN40c1,500$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9001,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed B847c1,500$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70597040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbd2…f8a0backed B847c1,500$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.9618752.4%98 W · 89 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed paiN70c1,489$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.7964552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked B844c1,400$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61781244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked B836c1,362$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.63,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2984…0fc6backed paiN53c1,321$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.755756.1%32 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked paiN53c1,285$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.1442440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked paiN47c1,250$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.559839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed paiN53c1,200$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5649946.5%46 W · 53 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa558…1b44backed paiN52c1,141$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.686432.8%21 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked B848c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50065650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed B830c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.7646340.8%189 W · 274 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed B850c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50055236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a78…1e03backed paiN80c991$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.23100%3 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed paiN56c936.64$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.4120050.5%101 W · 99 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+37.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa097…8795backed paiN56c900.72$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.7217347.4%82 W · 91 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed paiN62c870.11$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.642,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed B847c800$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37625941.3%107 W · 152 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed paiN52c780$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.416250%81 W · 81 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1b0…5e03backed B845c774.96$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.733234.4%11 W · 21 L-6.5wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-40.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x8c36…36a0backed B827c749.99$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.53354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac0c…739cbacked B88c749.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3766034.1%225 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked paiN56c713.27$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.271,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed B831c674.4$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.5129128.5%83 W · 208 L-30.2wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-38.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed B832c645.41$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.963541.1%261 W · 374 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed B855c638.03$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.6660848%292 W · 316 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked paiN67c635.01$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.391,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed B848c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020944%92 W · 117 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed paiN50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29de…02aabacked B847c590.79$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.677736.4%28 W · 49 L-6.2wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ac3…66eabacked B848c583$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.072466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+24%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe28f…be21backed B828c571.43$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked B848c561.7$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.6212038.3%46 W · 74 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked paiN72c531$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.9925651.2%131 W · 125 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed paiN53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23524134.4%83 W · 158 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed paiN52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.1613030.8%40 W · 90 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed paiN54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23024139%94 W · 147 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb70c…41d5backed B846c499.99$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23034235.4%121 W · 221 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked B843c499$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.8447738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed paiN58c482.3$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.061,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed paiN54c444$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.2416750.9%85 W · 82 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed B841c428.78$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17596545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfced…6116backed B847c428.3$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.7510640.6%43 W · 63 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f28…4c34backed B847c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66ec…8c18backed B812c419.54$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.348416.7%14 W · 70 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-38.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7c3…8e29backed B848c414.54$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.981118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick41cpaid-63.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked B846c402$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.921,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed paiN57c400$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.554,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x403f…2b6bbacked B828c400$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1142536%9 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c6…1c37backed paiN54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.3711937.8%45 W · 74 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7860…5d78backed B87c357.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked B820c353$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.0132930.4%100 W · 229 L-21.9wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-50.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc975…2c68backed B812c350$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432548%12 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc954…642fbacked B847c325$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.7526553.2%141 W · 124 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed paiN51c306$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.445244.5%201 W · 251 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked paiN53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1419838.8%38 W · 60 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…54d2backed B843c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1298551.8%44 W · 41 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3911…30f3backed paiN53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14126251.1%134 W · 128 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11fd…a851backed B814c299.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5380%0 W · 38 L-11.5wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight30-0.18 edge/pick
0x6827…26fdbacked B854c297.56$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.0111246.4%52 W · 60 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5d2…1b03backed B817c295.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506233.9%21 W · 41 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick39cpaid+41.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf0c…2265backed paiN59c280.01$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.5114952.3%78 W · 71 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca5…e6c9backed paiN55c260$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1173844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x861f…a189backed paiN64c246.74$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.8392152.6%484 W · 437 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed B843c228.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2461837.9%234 W · 384 L-22.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb29…ea29backed B845c228.11$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.356637.9%25 W · 41 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4cea…fb39backed B845c221.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.92941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed paiN53c217.7$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.3242638%162 W · 264 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked paiN49c217.57$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked B846c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10076748%368 W · 399 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed B847c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10032653.1%173 W · 153 L-1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked B810c208$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.321,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb950…4dd4backed paiN53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9456738.8%220 W · 347 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40ba…0f49backed B848c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964542.2%19 W · 26 L-7.6wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-32%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.