TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: paiN vs B8 - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
paiNof paiN, B8
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,189
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$92,494

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,189 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbc67…5286backed paiN60c2,713$1,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.651,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed paiN49c2,557$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,301.462,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x85a4…9aabbacked paiN66c2,530$1,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.237054.3%38 W · 32 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed B858c2,407$1,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,386.346949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfadd…3955backed paiN58c2,361$1,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.38052.5%42 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked paiN48c2,168$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,118.3759839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked paiN48c2,109$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,095.491,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf31b…241bbacked B834c2,052$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.6822927.5%63 W · 166 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked B840c2,017$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.071,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x699f…c3a9backed B854c1,843$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25ac…3e47backed paiN64c1,840$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.588564.7%55 W · 30 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked B843c1,453$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.822,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked paiN56c1,119$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.5835242.9%151 W · 201 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f81…5410backed B81c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10254%1 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick1cpaid+300%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x16db…ac64backed B826c958.15$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.196716.4%11 W · 56 L-8.1wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-54.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed B823c897.07$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.241,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x757d…1496backed B844c809.99$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.524649.6%122 W · 124 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30f4…8c1ebacked B831c809$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.9127947.7%133 W · 146 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f26…c83bbacked B823c789.93$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.220936.4%76 W · 133 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb29…ea29backed B841c770.68$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.556637.9%25 W · 41 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed paiN75c700$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17358961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed B810c627.4$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6061338.2%234 W · 379 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed B844c541.58$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.571,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce15…5c0abacked paiN80c480$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.951070%7 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick69cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed B833c431.5$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.7213537.8%51 W · 84 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe28f…be21backed B848c410.33$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1991631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6183…575fbacked B825c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed B831c372.1$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.2729128.5%83 W · 208 L-30.2wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-38.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked paiN71c372$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.4116235.8%58 W · 104 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafa3…0915backed paiN57c351.65$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.654955.1%27 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3265…d5b8backed paiN76c300.22$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.6413043.1%56 W · 74 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x641f…942bbacked paiN78c248$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.4413756.2%77 W · 60 L+9.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked B86c222.61$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3622931.4%72 W · 157 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed paiN52c206.25$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9946149.9%230 W · 231 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb6d…942cbacked B846c205$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.311452.6%60 W · 54 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x72c2…5e74backed B815c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7624440.2%98 W · 146 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa60…556cbacked B850c180$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9032352%168 W · 155 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed B818c172$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.442,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x27ed…57ebbacked B845c159$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.55425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2221…ec1bbacked paiN79c153.96$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.333951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed paiN54c152.36$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.34,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed B840c150$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.563541.1%261 W · 374 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked paiN59c139.98$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.772,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked paiN43c126$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.2647738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed paiN44c120.24$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.0844743.8%196 W · 251 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked paiN51c114.29$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5617648.3%85 W · 91 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd53…a861backed B845c109$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.051040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f7a…6563backed paiN53c106$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.82475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+37.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked paiN36c105.56$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.561,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed paiN51c104.08$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5197230%292 W · 680 L-23.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed B839c102.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4037445.7%171 W · 203 L-29.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed paiN55c101.82$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.281,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked B815c100.49$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1169624%167 W · 529 L+2.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d7c…b7dbbacked paiN43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5723646.2%109 W · 127 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xccd4…2fd4backed paiN60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.23762.2%23 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed37…b5a2backed B850c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-41.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed paiN45c90$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8211245.5%51 W · 61 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60b8…d47dbacked B855c81.5$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4560857.2%348 W · 260 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed B838c79.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3060838.2%232 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed paiN64c79.26$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9227348.4%132 W · 141 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed paiN71c70.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.751,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4de…00b4backed paiN54c64.64$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.648457.1%48 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ef…b8f4backed B828c60.66$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.681921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-47.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed B844c52.27$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1063…18e1backed paiN61c52.04$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.413100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca78…fe5dbacked B837c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.51414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-66.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a89…a4d6backed B862c46.77$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2923842.4%101 W · 137 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3a5…83dbbacked B851c44.7$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.81127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-61.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked B839c43.16$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.837,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6966…409bbacked paiN55c41$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1313…866abacked paiN55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97c7…37adbacked B851c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2066753.1%354 W · 313 L+1.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a5f…a8a0backed B854c36.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.91631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-32.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed B857c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2052449%257 W · 267 L-27.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x480a…e3c9backed paiN55c34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+59.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b4c…77bdbacked B847c33.8$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.894348.8%21 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d3b…bd9fbacked paiN55c31$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.952100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick65cpaid+58.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked paiN64c30.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.073,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe252…2071backed paiN50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1515851.9%82 W · 76 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x955c…4407backed paiN52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88d0…524cbacked B847c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-38.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed B879c29.9$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6233456.6%189 W · 145 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1bd…0da6backed paiN55c29$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.05475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+32.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f53…1ddcbacked B847c28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.16560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa28…7d27backed B847c28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.16666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+27.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf572…065abacked B845c26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-46%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x425f…0f7abacked paiN57c26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1811747%55 W · 62 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed paiN72c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.054,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaebc…bb17backed paiN55c24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-63.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ba5…2591backed B879c24$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.961741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7d4…c5cdbacked paiN55c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+44.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x749b…48d8backed paiN55c21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.452100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03db…e62fbacked paiN56c20.21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.894250%21 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cff…6471backed B850c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104440.9%18 W · 26 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.