CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: paiN vs B8 - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49ab0c9a4918c3116d680fb559a80291b4bc1317b2fe4d1e0716f178527e1235
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- paiNof paiN, B8
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,932
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,932 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked B8 | 24c | 5,295$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.58 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed paiN | 47c | 3,745$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,985 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed B8 | 12c | 3,152$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.8 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked B8 | 26c | 2,758$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.36 | 1,263 | 46.9%592 W · 671 L | +18.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked B8 | 24c | 2,541$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.91 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed B8 | 53c | 2,426$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.85 | 463 | 49.9%231 W · 232 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed B8 | 27c | 2,039$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.02 | 574 | 22.5%129 W · 445 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked B8 | 15c | 2,021$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.67 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed B8 | 54c | 1,738$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.52 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed B8 | 24c | 1,659$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.83 | 1,283 | 22%282 W · 1,001 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed B8 | 41c | 1,310$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.9 | 157 | 43.3%68 W · 89 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked paiN | 56c | 1,294$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.78 | 605 | 40%242 W · 363 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed B8 | 53c | 1,245$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6183…575fbacked paiN | 65c | 1,227$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.97 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed paiN | 45c | 887.6$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.18 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed B8 | 55c | 806$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.3 | 646 | 52.8%341 W · 305 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed paiN | 76c | 800$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 394 | 68%268 W · 126 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed B8 | 22c | 730.35$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.18 | 84 | 16.7%14 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked paiN | 68c | 658.78$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.81 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfadd…3955backed paiN | 66c | 640.32$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.71 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked paiN | 80c | 634$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.95 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked B8 | 54c | 557.31$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.95 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed paiN | 53c | 483.15$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.08 | 821 | 43%353 W · 468 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked paiN | 65c | 447.73$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.26 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked paiN | 65c | 426.15$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.15 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed paiN | 71c | 343.55$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.53 | 2,092 | 41.6%871 W · 1,221 L | -50.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6827…26fdbacked B8 | 53c | 339.99$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.7 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked paiN | 76c | 334$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.16 | 286 | 44.1%126 W · 160 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed B8 | 34c | 313.16$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.95 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed B8 | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 225 | 54.2%122 W · 103 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked paiN | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…0915backed B8 | 47c | 297.87$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed B8 | 25c | 224.14$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.25 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed paiN | 59c | 220.88$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.95 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb863…a3a0backed paiN | 70c | 216.9$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked paiN | 68c | 207.04$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed paiN | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed paiN | 67c | 190.41$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.2 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed paiN | 74c | 189.6$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.63 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked paiN | 66c | 189.48$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.08 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked paiN | 63c | 189$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.24 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…c7aebacked paiN | 76c | 174.72$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed paiN | 67c | 150.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.13 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc391…6cc8backed B8 | 47c | 139.74$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.31 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked B8 | 38c | 131.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…3d8dbacked B8 | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 528 | 34.3%181 W · 347 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed B8 | 29c | 119.78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4c…77bdbacked B8 | 32c | 115.63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked B8 | 9c | 110.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 229 | 31.4%72 W · 157 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6d…942cbacked B8 | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff67…a1c9backed B8 | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.76 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd89…3407backed B8 | 54c | 76.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked B8 | 37c | 70.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 180 | 40.6%73 W · 107 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e0…70f8backed paiN | 73c | 64.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 33 | 90.9%30 W · 3 L | +6.9wins | +0.21per pick | 70cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed paiN | 57c | 63.34$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd11…79a5backed paiN | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80a9…ad8bbacked paiN | 47c | 56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed B8 | 55c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed B8 | 38c | 52.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed paiN | 64c | 49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed paiN | 60c | 47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 1,305 | 26.4%345 W · 960 L | -89.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c57…bf46backed B8 | 32c | 45.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed paiN | 76c | 45.52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425f…0f7abacked B8 | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 117 | 47%55 W · 62 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01d3…9444backed B8 | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed B8 | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 215 | 28.8%62 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed B8 | 54c | 36.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 526 | 49%258 W · 268 L | -27.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x868c…279dbacked paiN | 47c | 34.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked B8 | 38c | 31.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…e069backed B8 | 49c | 30.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed paiN | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f8…8405backed paiN | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed B8 | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0af2…3b47backed paiN | 62c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed paiN | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 1,548 | 33.9%524 W · 1,024 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-InpaiN won
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs B8 - Map 1 WinnerpaiN won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.