Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: NRG Academy vs Evil Geniuses Academy (BO3) - VCL North America Swiss Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc218e8c2a14c95e0affafcff639134fef12e382de2a9c40d350d503bbad38f80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRG Academyof NRG Academy, Evil Geniuses Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,729
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed NRG Academy | 52c | 2,171$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.89 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 2c | 1,869$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed9d…517dbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 37c | 1,378$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 46c | 1,162$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.48 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x455e…1fcfbacked NRG Academy | 63c | 810$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked NRG Academy | 63c | 624.75$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.68 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…e4debacked NRG Academy | 63c | 568$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda1e…f6a4backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 26c | 399.95$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…2e16backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 40c | 299.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed NRG Academy | 70c | 270$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7abc…9ff7backed NRG Academy | 60c | 269.88$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 235 | 48.5%114 W · 121 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41cd…a24abacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa6…4eb6backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 51c | 192.32$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 38c | 137$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 44c | 127.01$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.87 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed NRG Academy | 53c | 123.4$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NRG Academy | 72c | 123.23$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa340…409bbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 40c | 121.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203d…e00fbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 40c | 118$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ce…96e8backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 70c | 93.59$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0546…7ac6backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 53c | 66.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 39c | 65.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…91ecbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 67c | 61.19$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…e742backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 40c | 50.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec70…0f93backed NRG Academy | 47c | 50.41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed NRG Academy | 43c | 41.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 39c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 37c | 34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 38c | 31.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc9…801ebacked NRG Academy | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked NRG Academy | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdac9…39f1backed NRG Academy | 35c | 29.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fff…665bbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 40c | 29.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…524cbacked NRG Academy | 62c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…afe6backed NRG Academy | 62c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4182…ae54backed NRG Academy | 62c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 60cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6014…5a58backed NRG Academy | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc727…adc2backed NRG Academy | 62c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 67c | 17.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa029…c912backed NRG Academy | 62c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: NRG Academy vs Evil Geniuses Academy (BO3) - VCL North America Swiss Stagethis page
- Map Handicap: NRG.A (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses Academy (+1.5)Evil Geniuses Academy won
- Valorant: NRG Academy vs Evil Geniuses Academy - Map 1 WinnerEvil Geniuses Academy won
- Valorant: NRG Academy vs Evil Geniuses Academy - Map 2 WinnerNRG Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.