TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Liquidof Gentle Mates, Liquid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$523,577
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$591,641

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $523,577 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 349 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Liquid51c66,733$34,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,396.833,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Gentle Mates44c39,963$17,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,551.5283652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Gentle Mates39c28,148$10,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,919.6645848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Gentle Mates49c26,566$12,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,999.283,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c38…1218backed Liquid33c24,000$7,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,039.897440.5%30 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Gentle Mates67c22,290$15,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,000.8822354.7%122 W · 101 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed Liquid59c22,000$13,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,923.157647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fe8…3549backed Liquid58c20,000$11,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,399.9613954.7%76 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Gentle Mates62c19,319$11,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,968.273154.8%17 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Liquid71c18,568$13,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,307.741,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15fe…86bebacked Gentle Mates40c12,221$4,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,878.3313646.3%63 W · 73 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Liquid60c9,936$5,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,988.0232348.9%158 W · 165 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9333…3fa5backed Gentle Mates62c9,631$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0001421.4%3 W · 11 L-5.3wins-0.38per pick59cpaid-62.4%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Liquid61c9,276$5,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,583.619949.7%99 W · 100 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Gentle Mates42c7,618$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,199.6846949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Gentle Mates56c6,996$3,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,952.221,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40e2…b0a7backed Gentle Mates56c6,943$3,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,916.21782.4%14 W · 3 L+4.3wins+0.25per pick57cpaid+38.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Gentle Mates40c6,800$2,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,719.9910549.5%52 W · 53 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed Liquid58c6,000$3,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,519.9972453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0aa7…1ad7backed Liquid36c5,662$2,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,639.41020%2 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-50.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa042…62bdbacked Gentle Mates57c5,500$3,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,129.974959.2%29 W · 20 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+24.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Liquid68c5,491$3,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,775.191,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Liquid49c5,362$2,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,754.52,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf0e…1f6cbacked Gentle Mates54c5,097$2,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7661020%2 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-58.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Gentle Mates41c5,000$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,05012150.4%61 W · 60 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked Gentle Mates42c4,762$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00025751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6683…de6bbacked Liquid57c4,601$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000.889553.7%51 W · 44 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Gentle Mates58c4,490$2,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,626.1464552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Gentle Mates43c4,462$1,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,924.3198052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Liquid56c4,397$2,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,945.630335.6%108 W · 195 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cd1…6b8ebacked Liquid59c4,260$2,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,756.98862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed Gentle Mates38c3,900$1,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,48236645.4%166 W · 200 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6551…e043backed Gentle Mates39c3,700$1,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4433158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked Liquid44c3,681$1,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,048.7224440.6%99 W · 145 L-12.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaee7…1e5bbacked Gentle Mates45c3,600$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,62034147.5%162 W · 179 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fb6…242abacked Gentle Mates41c3,478$1,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,427.18966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Liquid35c3,435$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,23581751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc330…1667backed Gentle Mates44c3,307$1,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,447.552650%13 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Gentle Mates29c3,250$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95296545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5019…74cdbacked Gentle Mates47c3,202$1,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,495.3611630.2%35 W · 81 L-0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca47…3ef4backed Gentle Mates48c3,000$1,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4355957.6%34 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Liquid49c2,962$1,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.5461228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c1b…e0e5backed Liquid59c2,887$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,186.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Liquid49c2,886$1,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,472.1961837.9%234 W · 384 L-22.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Gentle Mates49c2,649$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30027452.9%145 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Liquid76c2,599$1,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.61,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Gentle Mates59c2,500$1,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,467.7388746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Gentle Mates41c2,441$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.0244743.8%196 W · 251 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc192…086cbacked Gentle Mates42c2,390$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.827530.9%85 W · 190 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf73d…80e7backed Gentle Mates66c2,272$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick70cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Gentle Mates43c2,195$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.1517644.9%79 W · 97 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked Gentle Mates54c2,178$1,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,177.4629046.9%136 W · 154 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Gentle Mates14c2,167$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.819843.9%87 W · 111 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Gentle Mates41c1,829$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7506544.6%29 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Gentle Mates41c1,785$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.9820539.5%81 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Gentle Mates64c1,762$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,132.8220462.7%128 W · 76 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked Liquid61c1,639$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.348741.4%36 W · 51 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Liquid60c1,600$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64053746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56e1…8b17backed Liquid34c1,594$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.892646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Gentle Mates41c1,457$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.4828453.5%152 W · 132 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x851e…05adbacked Gentle Mates49c1,417$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70030%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed Gentle Mates41c1,400$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.9911547%54 W · 61 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Liquid45c1,306$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.7260147.4%285 W · 316 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5453…a834backed Gentle Mates8c1,291$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031654.7%173 W · 143 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed Gentle Mates49c1,259$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.4838868.3%265 W · 123 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Liquid61c1,211$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.571,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9cd…432cbacked Liquid41c1,203$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.12737%10 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x219e…6d26backed Liquid58c1,200$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.631560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df4…0540backed Gentle Mates49c1,174$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.167958.2%46 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed Gentle Mates34c1,165$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.5534848.3%168 W · 180 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebf9…1eefbacked Liquid67c1,129$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd084…27eabacked Gentle Mates40c1,031$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.424546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc328…d945backed Liquid35c1,025$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.81450%7 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+33.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe2a5…391cbacked Gentle Mates40c1,005$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.8610550.5%53 W · 52 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Liquid38c1,000$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.754,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x944f…d441backed Liquid61c972$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.418148.1%39 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Gentle Mates41c965.5$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.861,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed Liquid39c878$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.0555043.1%237 W · 313 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed Liquid57c877.42$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.4232653.1%173 W · 153 L-1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7437…e1e9backed Liquid59c861.64$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.9410942.2%46 W · 63 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eca…9291backed Liquid35c857.14$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.142722.2%6 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9792…9212backed Gentle Mates11c819.8$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.151618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick35cpaid-55.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4602…3315backed Gentle Mates40c802.46$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.9813954.7%76 W · 63 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Gentle Mates24c800$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1891,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56fc…affbbacked Liquid37c800$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50428644.1%126 W · 160 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Liquid55c766.95$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.381,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa10…3fc9backed Gentle Mates34c750.22$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.652711.1%3 W · 24 L-4.0wins-0.15per pick26cpaid-73.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Gentle Mates39c750$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.550833.5%170 W · 338 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Gentle Mates40c748$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.27856.4%44 W · 34 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8104…3128backed Liquid53c747.55$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.969151.6%47 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x544e…2d9fbacked Gentle Mates52c730$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.88764.4%56 W · 31 L+9.5wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+25.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Liquid52c721.99$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.9747738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Liquid46c711.35$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.971,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed Gentle Mates14c700$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9858651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa60…556cbacked Liquid58c699.99$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29132352%168 W · 155 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a9…e80cbacked Gentle Mates22c657.55$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.881637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-27.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3a89…a4d6backed Liquid70c656.84$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.0723842.4%101 W · 137 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed Liquid60c642.93$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.1226360.8%160 W · 103 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2930…4cf8backed Liquid53c634.52$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.3215743.3%68 W · 89 L+0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Liquid40c607$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.686827.9%19 W · 49 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-33%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.