CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Liquid - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8512163ec30d1409a62ce4c6d8fcb7520446f323bc965aae90cccb705f76d65f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gentle Matesof Gentle Mates, Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,567
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,468
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,567 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7c38…1218backed Gentle Mates | 57c | 15,247$8,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,605.4 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Liquid | 33c | 11,231$3,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,715.8 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Liquid | 42c | 3,868$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.46 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Liquid | 28c | 2,304$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.04 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Liquid | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Liquid | 14c | 2,000$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.79 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Liquid | 7c | 1,756$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.56 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Liquid | 14c | 1,296$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.58 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9792…9212backed Liquid | 48c | 920.56$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.84 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…6b53backed Liquid | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Liquid | 14c | 890$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.3 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…96a6backed Gentle Mates | 62c | 880.79$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.46 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Liquid | 9c | 850.01$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.98 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Liquid | 45c | 700$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Liquid | 22c | 682.36$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.24 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x553f…99b9backed Liquid | 34c | 583.51$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Liquid | 8c | 537.22$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Liquid | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Gentle Mates | 74c | 473$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.71 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Liquid | 13c | 380$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d65…db09backed Liquid | 30c | 371.04$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Liquid | 20c | 369.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.89 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42af…15f7backed Liquid | 22c | 316.28$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe089…f441backed Liquid | 42c | 302.43$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.02 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…e51dbacked Liquid | 10c | 279.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Gentle Mates | 67c | 257$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.81 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9c…bcfcbacked Liquid | 32c | 250.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 152 | 55.3%84 W · 68 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Gentle Mates | 46c | 243$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.22 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Liquid | 29c | 219.39$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.87 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc8…f527backed Liquid | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.11 | 488 | 26.2%128 W · 360 L | -44.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Liquid | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 286 | 44.1%126 W · 160 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Liquid | 9c | 190$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Gentle Mates | 70c | 185.11$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.45 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ea…165fbacked Liquid | 42c | 184.32$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked Liquid | 31c | 170$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Liquid | 35c | 167.22$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Liquid | 43c | 167.16$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Liquid | 42c | 163.36$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.41 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…3a19backed Liquid | 27c | 160$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6719…1e71backed Liquid | 16c | 138.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Liquid | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.83 | 202 | 43.6%88 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70e0…52fabacked Liquid | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Liquid | 53c | 115.92$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.44 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…0ed3backed Liquid | 53c | 100.19$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Liquid | 43c | 100.05$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -7.1wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Gentle Mates | 46c | 71.65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.69 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Liquid | 49c | 70.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked Gentle Mates | 51c | 70.71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…e4dabacked Liquid | 36c | 68.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…1a07backed Gentle Mates | 62c | 66.63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Gentle Mates | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 317 | 57.7%183 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Gentle Mates | 63c | 59.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Gentle Mates | 62c | 56.91$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 222 | 54.5%121 W · 101 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Liquid | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6827…26fdbacked Liquid | 47c | 49.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…78e5backed Liquid | 24c | 49.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc18…ce62backed Liquid | 25c | 43.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +57%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…4d07backed Gentle Mates | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3a…35bbbacked Gentle Mates | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…4dccbacked Liquid | 37c | 31.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5618…be67backed Liquid | 43c | 28.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x425f…0f7abacked Liquid | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 117 | 47%55 W · 62 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x868c…279dbacked Liquid | 54c | 19.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Liquid - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierLiquid won
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Liquid - Map 2 WinnerLiquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.