Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Heroic (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1841b19ec48053e049a779a0652a416f2f4a0a775032c1f2203c87c214b1252d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,098
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,293
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,098 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Heroic | 27c | 8,954$2,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,419.7 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Team Falcons | 73c | 8,228$6,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,221.54 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Heroic | 32c | 7,558$2,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,386.27 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…b006backed Team Falcons | 68c | 6,636$4,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,123.5 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3973…b13ebacked Heroic | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Team Falcons | 79c | 2,684$2,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.81 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Team Falcons | 73c | 2,680$1,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.04 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons | 73c | 2,559$1,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.95 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 2,469$1,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.95 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed Heroic | 27c | 2,327$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.83 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a5…de1bbacked Heroic | 37c | 2,095$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.24 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Heroic | 27c | 1,684$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.57 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Team Falcons | 71c | 1,660$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.59 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd02…9de4backed Heroic | 26c | 1,530$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Heroic | 1c | 1,499$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked Heroic | 40c | 1,254$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Heroic | 35c | 1,139$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…abc9backed Heroic | 30c | 1,063$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x419d…129abacked Team Falcons | 74c | 970$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…e2f2backed Heroic | 26c | 930$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a9…4763backed Heroic | 26c | 858$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Heroic | 25c | 802.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.91 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa124…19c4backed Heroic | 26c | 795$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Team Falcons | 74c | 757.54$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.54 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Heroic | 26c | 754.43$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.39 | 84 | 11.9%10 W · 74 L | -14.1wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…fd89backed Team Falcons | 74c | 710$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed Team Falcons | 65c | 700$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons | 64c | 691.4$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.77 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…5290backed Heroic | 26c | 677$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…5f44backed Heroic | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Team Falcons | 71c | 599.99$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0050…2eb8backed Team Falcons | 71c | 563.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.38 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb016…982dbacked Team Falcons | 74c | 563$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d0…552dbacked Team Falcons | 74c | 560$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Team Falcons | 73c | 538.22$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.68 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1473…d28bbacked Heroic | 2c | 525.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…41d5backed Heroic | 27c | 500.06$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.88 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Team Falcons | 65c | 499.99$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7815…ade8backed Heroic | 27c | 499.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.2 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Team Falcons | 64c | 482.16$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.35 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x750c…7d14backed Heroic | 26c | 481$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Team Falcons | 73c | 476.93$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.16 | 50 | 78%39 W · 11 L | +7.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4c…e430backed Team Falcons | 65c | 461.97$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.97 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf87f…43a5backed Team Falcons | 74c | 446$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa3…8133backed Team Falcons | 74c | 445$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked Team Falcons | 74c | 400$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Heroic | 30c | 387.06$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.55 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Team Falcons | 74c | 385.71$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.89 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Heroic | 25c | 367.96$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.05 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -9.8wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Heroic | 35c | 364.98$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.74 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…81b0backed Heroic | 32c | 355.88$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.88 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a8…f4ebbacked Team Falcons | 74c | 350$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Heroic | 14c | 334.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Heroic | 24c | 315.07$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.26 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 314.29$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.29 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6857…9f77backed Heroic | 33c | 304.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad01…5d1fbacked Team Falcons | 74c | 295$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Heroic | 37c | 291.22$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.49 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bad…ae5ebacked Team Falcons | 74c | 257$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Heroic | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed Heroic | 40c | 252.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Team Falcons | 63c | 252.24$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…a5bebacked Heroic | 20c | 251$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Heroic | 18c | 250.81$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ef…bdfebacked Team Falcons | 74c | 231$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…aecebacked Team Falcons | 74c | 224$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa08a…de5bbacked Team Falcons | 74c | 220$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Falcons | 72c | 186.47$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.47 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Team Falcons | 69c | 180.98$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Team Falcons | 73c | 169.85$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.86 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…9ea9backed Heroic | 36c | 166.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…4d30backed Heroic | 28c | 160.47$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.93 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Team Falcons | 67c | 160$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.47 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Heroic | 24c | 144.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Team Falcons | 73c | 143.94$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe48…5895backed Team Falcons | 73c | 137.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Team Falcons | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Team Falcons | 74c | 134.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc7…5b85backed Heroic | 32c | 130$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718a…5d86backed Team Falcons | 77c | 130$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…9266backed Team Falcons | 75c | 120$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…5d2cbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 118.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Team Falcons | 73c | 109.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc11c…8d8abacked Team Falcons | 76c | 105.34$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Team Falcons | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a3…d89bbacked Team Falcons | 70c | 91.09$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Team Falcons | 67c | 90$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed Team Falcons | 72c | 85.34$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Heroic | 12c | 82.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Team Falcons | 73c | 80.82$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…e997backed Heroic | 28c | 70.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ab…c3acbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…2e55backed Team Falcons | 76c | 66.5$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3606…96f1backed Heroic | 31c | 63.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3703…2795backed Heroic | 34c | 58.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc8…21f0backed Heroic | 29c | 56.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69bb…23b3backed Heroic | 33c | 56.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d9d7backed Team Falcons | 62c | 56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Heroic | 26c | 54.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.