Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Monmouth Hawks vs. Hofstra Pride (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3964f121acf7d55dcb553f4df4cf1544ed03eccf63bdeb043e4a23d0dd24100d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Monmouth Hawksof Monmouth Hawks, Hofstra Pride
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,680
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,583
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,680 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Monmouth Hawks | 56c | 1,215$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.49 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hofstra Pride | 37c | 667.7$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.54 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…0074backed Hofstra Pride | 38c | 519.69$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.35 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Monmouth Hawks | 56c | 451.08$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.57 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…c86cbacked Hofstra Pride | 35c | 395.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Monmouth Hawks | 50c | 393.48$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.33 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed Monmouth Hawks | 72c | 379.08$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.82 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf62…c93fbacked Hofstra Pride | 25c | 367.84$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Monmouth Hawks | 27c | 366.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.54 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked Hofstra Pride | 35c | 347.25$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…e009backed Monmouth Hawks | 72c | 324.45$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2922…30f1backed Hofstra Pride | 21c | 286.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Monmouth Hawks | 79c | 281.19$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.14 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Hofstra Pride | 54c | 237.87$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.46 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Monmouth Hawks | 57c | 188$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.91 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Hofstra Pride | 75c | 158.48$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c19…859cbacked Monmouth Hawks | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Monmouth Hawks | 71c | 89.31$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Monmouth Hawks | 56c | 89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Monmouth Hawks | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe4…4fd4backed Hofstra Pride | 21c | 76.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…c741backed Monmouth Hawks | 42c | 73.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.74 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf477…7a3ebacked Hofstra Pride | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Hofstra Pride | 47c | 58.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Monmouth Hawks | 65c | 57.95$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Hofstra Pride | 40c | 50.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Monmouth Hawks | 67c | 48.96$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Hofstra Pride | 62c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Monmouth Hawks | 64c | 39.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4edb…9963backed Monmouth Hawks | 59c | 30.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdac9…39f1backed Monmouth Hawks | 38c | 29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.