TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Open de Moselle: Arthur Cazaux vs Cameron Norrie

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Norrieof Cazaux, Norrie
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$236,787
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$264,693

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $236,787 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0ee4…276fbacked Cazaux55c23,051$12,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,730.592035%7 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick41cpaid+12.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Cazaux54c14,673$7,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,948.5516644.6%74 W · 92 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Norrie57c11,403$6,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,941.5865647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6adb…a902backed Cazaux34c11,281$3,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,811.17633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-39.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Cazaux64c9,358$6,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,026.6511,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ce…0772backed Norrie53c4,290$2,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,016.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Norrie46c4,155$1,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,239.451,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Cazaux49c4,126$2,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,020.4219835.4%70 W · 128 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Cazaux46c3,800$1,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,748.162850%14 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Norrie58c3,431$1,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,445.572,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7606…2836backed Norrie44c3,322$1,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,860.327857.7%45 W · 33 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa815…a3c3backed Norrie73c3,250$2,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.5613253.8%71 W · 61 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbee2…8ff2backed Norrie57c2,950$1,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,283837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Norrie50c2,950$1,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,472.356,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Norrie46c2,564$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,397.278,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb56…e8fabacked Norrie53c2,560$1,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,203.2450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+51.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed Norrie51c2,550$1,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,249.511343.4%49 W · 64 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56fb…3b99backed Cazaux42c2,500$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.678530.6%26 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Cazaux69c2,336$1,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,605.7265242.8%279 W · 373 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked Norrie54c2,100$1,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96614549%71 W · 74 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2cf…e2b3backed Cazaux4c2,033$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9354…6502backed Norrie46c2,017$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.3375547.8%361 W · 394 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Norrie35c2,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,30010060%60 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd461…1d6cbacked Norrie35c1,972$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,283.946530.8%20 W · 45 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Cazaux47c1,784$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.4813935.3%49 W · 90 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Cazaux61c1,755$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.262,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd0f…7f89backed Norrie53c1,747$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.78475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+51.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9be4…1299backed Norrie53c1,732$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.04475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+51.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Norrie51c1,702$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.2222037.7%83 W · 137 L+1.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63ea…e0fbbacked Norrie76c1,619$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.18666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e57…486bbacked Norrie54c1,600$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick38cpaid+83.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Cazaux69c1,522$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.3911053.6%59 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeec9…1675backed Cazaux43c1,500$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+47.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x278f…0dbebacked Cazaux44c1,450$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+47.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bb2…6b94backed Norrie35c1,440$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.697041.4%29 W · 41 L+7.4wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+2.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x090c…4240backed Cazaux47c1,325$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.75450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+51.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Norrie37c1,241$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.5459151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0814…6de2backed Cazaux47c1,235$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.4530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3859…3070backed Norrie34c1,200$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7927037.1%26 W · 44 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a44…6da3backed Cazaux46c1,200$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick49cpaid-55%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Norrie46c1,150$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.2222641.6%94 W · 132 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e4c…bb05backed Cazaux48c1,141$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.68450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+61%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa225…b903backed Norrie70c1,125$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.121650%8 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7deb…7c0abacked Norrie15c1,000$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8502722.2%6 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick26cpaid+16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Norrie73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2707375.3%55 W · 18 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed Cazaux65c999.99$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65013641.9%57 W · 79 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Norrie32c999.99$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.9957645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…5367backed Cazaux47c995$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b7a…539ebacked Cazaux47c995$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2218…da53backed Cazaux47c995$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad78…6d08backed Cazaux47c995$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa871…5e2bbacked Cazaux47c995$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8de5…e957backed Norrie54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.939452.1%49 W · 45 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x88f4…3458backed Cazaux46c900$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick62cpaid-60.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6eeb…5874backed Cazaux47c896$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.12425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-43.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Norrie53c888.26$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.4819131.4%60 W · 131 L+0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf21…f571backed Cazaux47c878$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.66425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-43.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f24…59e7backed Norrie76c861.06$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.06560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Norrie42c849.99$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.2523852.1%124 W · 114 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x992e…bb05backed Cazaux47c836$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.92450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+61%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Cazaux46c825.93$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.939944.4%44 W · 55 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe9d…5eb1backed Norrie37c811.97$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.974955.1%27 W · 22 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Norrie43c808.07$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.0417442.5%74 W · 100 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x823d…8091backed Norrie35c717.63$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.462250%11 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30d6…8c9dbacked Norrie30c703.9$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.76837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd123…d341backed Norrie52c686.6$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.5724841.5%103 W · 145 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d3…1f70backed Cazaux7c671.6$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85c8…9751backed Cazaux15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-6.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc480…937abacked Norrie30c617.13$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.4952133%172 W · 349 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Norrie43c616.15$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.1588446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa98f…7ba8backed Norrie54c600$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+66.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Norrie31c567$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.2396035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda47…f40abacked Norrie54c562.1$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.572100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+127.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa13b…1a4dbacked Norrie32c561$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.752634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6330…23d7backed Cazaux46c559.92$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.6430%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d64…5c93backed Norrie27c557.98$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.9813653.7%73 W · 63 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Cazaux47c536.95$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.3755143.4%239 W · 312 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Norrie34c527.85$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.3822744.5%101 W · 126 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4021…956abacked Norrie38c519.49$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.492759.3%16 W · 11 L+5.3wins+0.19per pick40cpaid+42.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Cazaux19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.928833.3%96 W · 192 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e2c…94c5backed Norrie25c500$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3753447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x363c…4463backed Cazaux30c499.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15027431.8%87 W · 187 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+38.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1802…d00fbacked Cazaux55c490.97$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.711338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-20.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Cazaux45c470.48$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.5362742.4%266 W · 361 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Cazaux64c453.94$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.818250%91 W · 91 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6659…6076backed Norrie59c440$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.4771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+56.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83c8…5d9ebacked Norrie36c416.67$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.673151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed Norrie36c400.92$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.5922629.2%66 W · 160 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6b1…c973backed Norrie25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3003855.3%21 W · 17 L+6.3wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+44.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x375e…6c94backed Cazaux69c399.99$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2761643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d9b…eb8dbacked Cazaux42c399.99$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1684456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x351b…4d06backed Norrie70c394.5$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.352839.3%11 W · 17 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-39.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Cazaux44c377$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16524529.8%73 W · 172 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8165…ac2fbacked Cazaux41c360$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.6742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b55…2eaebacked Norrie58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.836675.8%50 W · 16 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa61d…df1abacked Norrie29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.8310457.7%60 W · 44 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1c8…1790backed Norrie37c341.16$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.852030%6 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe216…e7b3backed Norrie53c339.62$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.623551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a93…32a0backed Norrie40c325$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.252356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Norrie62c324.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.1246556.1%261 W · 204 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.