TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf2cf…e2b3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
100
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NFL, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 60 out of 100; worst College Football at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT4250%21 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$38.44
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$35.33
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$21.9
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.65
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$17.82
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$42.57
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$32.53
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.99
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.15
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+300%+$30
Pelicans vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+244.8%+$39.17
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Hornets vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Thunder vs. Pistonsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Warriors vs. Pelicansbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Jazz vs. Rocketsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Nets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+185.7%+$59.43
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1687.5%14 W · 2 L+3.9wins+0.24per pick63cpaid+38.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NFL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+28.2%+$19.97
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+53.8%+$16.15
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+72.4%+$36.4
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$127
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+40.8%+$32.98
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
49ers vs. Coltsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+49.3%+$24.63
Eagles vs. Commandersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+29.9%+$14.94
Chargers vs. Chiefsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+233.3%+$70
Bears vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+40.8%+$11.51
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+29.9%+$16.43
Panthers vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+28.2%+$8.74
Cowboys vs. Raidersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Giants vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$11.95
Texans vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Dolphins vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$18.83
All 16 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+48.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$113.16
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$27.33
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$46.21
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.12
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.29
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+122.2%+$150.33
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+33%+$83.1
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Girona FC win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+614.3%+$110.57
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+40.5%+$49.4
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+37%+$24.41
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-44.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$14.05
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8.94
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.58
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$12.21
Will Denmark win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$13.33
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-39.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-74.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Estoril Praia win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+38.9%+$15.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Krakenbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+33.3%+$8.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Open de Moselle: Arthur Cazaux vs Cameron Norriebacked Cazaux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$73
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UConn vs. Ricebacked UConn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.