TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Pacers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hornetsof Hornets, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,305,581
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,964,861

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,305,581 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 351 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Pacers16c292,104$45,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,423.2587144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Pacers14c204,765$28,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,667.0627424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Pacers14c97,826$13,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,217.3636741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4eef…3fcbbacked Pacers14c74,380$10,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,413.211955.5%66 W · 53 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Pacers14c63,347$8,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,818.9347028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Pacers0c52,904$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.551,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Pacers15c52,355$7,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,834.822,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Pacers14c51,076$7,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,150.6632653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Pacers1c45,595$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.2826637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a57…2afabacked Pacers16c44,796$7,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,167.438944.9%40 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Pacers14c38,355$5,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,369.6645850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Pacers13c29,802$3,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,874.261851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8702…6304backed Pacers2c26,771$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.929026.7%24 W · 66 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Pacers16c26,720$4,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,275.151,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Pacers0c25,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6027917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Pacers0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Pacers15c23,611$3,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,541.6548352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Pacers14c23,129$3,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,244.4432540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Pacers14c21,119$2,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,956.6510239.2%40 W · 62 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8c2…6b54backed Pacers0c21,057$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Pacers14c20,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80059653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ff3…1aa9backed Pacers14c20,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80019645.9%90 W · 106 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Pacers0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2038545.7%176 W · 209 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Pacers15c20,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.991,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc374…46f4backed Pacers14c15,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.99922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-33.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Pacers0c14,562$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pacers15c13,550$2,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0021,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Pacers16c13,533$2,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,161.2741832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x47f8…6699backed Pacers15c13,366$2,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,004.953354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f35…95dabacked Pacers2c13,200$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.923915.4%6 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-76.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Pacers0c12,800$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.33179.5%30 W · 287 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Pacers16c12,500$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Pacers0c12,000$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Pacers14c11,560$1,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,646.72,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdab4…a27abacked Pacers14c10,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4008944.9%40 W · 49 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Pacers16c8,000$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,28043348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac53…821fbacked Pacers14c7,706$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078.812454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+26.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Pacers6c7,329$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.980737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c35…c860backed Pacers15c6,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b0d…90c0backed Pacers14c6,434$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.768834.1%30 W · 58 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pacers20c6,240$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,275.388,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Pacers16c6,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Pacers17c5,882$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00038046.6%177 W · 203 L-1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7a61…6a27backed Pacers1c5,872$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Pacers18c5,763$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.6329250%146 W · 146 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Hornets79c5,049$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.1941954.4%228 W · 191 L+1.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pacers14c5,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa392…1415backed Hornets77c5,000$3,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,149.9914245.1%64 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x512e…4f1bbacked Pacers15c4,087$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.027030%21 W · 49 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Pacers17c4,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68038649.7%192 W · 194 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Pacers14c4,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56058740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x367f…f4e5backed Hornets77c3,840$2,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.543100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+60.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Pacers0c3,750$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.68820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Pacers22c3,538$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.771,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Pacers22c3,480$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.746940.3%189 W · 280 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x65d4…4e71backed Hornets78c3,374$2,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.399573.7%70 W · 25 L+7.8wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2053…1eedbacked Pacers15c3,080$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4621145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Pacers21c2,931$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.7638540.3%155 W · 230 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Hornets79c2,656$2,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.175,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4059…23dabacked Pacers1c2,500$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.51234.9%6 W · 117 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick7cpaid+19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d91…40d3backed Pacers3c2,500$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7211926.1%31 W · 88 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Pacers14c2,500$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35020945.5%95 W · 114 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc07c…c4b7backed Pacers14c2,408$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.085616.1%9 W · 47 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-56.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7db0…f397backed Pacers21c2,255$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.084348.8%21 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Hornets77c2,172$1,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.0848956.4%276 W · 213 L+31.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Pacers2c2,100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368320.5%17 W · 66 L-7.9wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-49.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Pacers14c2,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28048137.2%179 W · 302 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03d9…e693backed Pacers1c2,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.21690%0 W · 169 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x102c…664bbacked Pacers17c2,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3406958%40 W · 29 L+9.3wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+26.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa661…eb28backed Pacers17c1,940$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.85855.2%32 W · 26 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9b4…3111backed Pacers17c1,853$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3159540%38 W · 57 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c59…3887backed Pacers20c1,838$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3606126.2%16 W · 45 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-38.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Pacers16c1,750$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.3426336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb41…98aebacked Pacers15c1,713$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.95250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x894d…7293backed Pacers9c1,570$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.13821.1%8 W · 30 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-45.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8da…d918backed Pacers9c1,359$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…e032backed Pacers15c1,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019045.8%87 W · 103 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4b8…950bbacked Pacers15c1,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002556%14 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+30.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc59e…22b6backed Pacers25c1,319$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.856323.8%15 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Pacers20c1,285$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.4130840.9%126 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x03fa…02bbbacked Pacers16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007838.5%30 W · 48 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53d3…ba87backed Hornets76c1,200$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.01922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick47cpaid-70.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Pacers9c1,200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10844821.4%96 W · 352 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed Pacers17c1,179$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0632…d1b7backed Pacers17c1,156$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1181…4216backed Pacers14c1,079$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513828.9%11 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78bc…5616backed Pacers24c1,044$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25014745.6%67 W · 80 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x688c…2482backed Pacers14c1,041$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba14…b792backed Pacers14c1,011$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.5469929.8%208 W · 491 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Pacers15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15044337.9%168 W · 275 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50bd…962abacked Pacers1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105841.4%24 W · 34 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Pacers1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104200.7%3 W · 417 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-52%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Pacers16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Pacers14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14029149.5%144 W · 147 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b13…2c26backed Pacers18c1,000$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1765438.9%21 W · 33 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+25.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf3…8f27backed Pacers16c999.98$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15740726%106 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Pacers14c995$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.326149.4%129 W · 132 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8076…85f9backed Pacers15c966.67$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14516125.5%41 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc863…d894backed Pacers16c966.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15070%0 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Pacers20c961$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.1161939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.