TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hornets (-13.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hornetsof Hornets, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$208,265
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$214,855

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $208,265 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Pacers53c100,000$53,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,999.9432653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Hornets47c35,740$16,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,942.2526949.1%132 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1716…d2b5backed Hornets47c18,800$8,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,963.991384.6%11 W · 2 L+4.1wins+0.32per pick53cpaid+60.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Hornets47c12,566$5,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,659.9844352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Pacers52c12,366$6,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,453.9245850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Hornets47c11,089$5,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,877.3624847.6%118 W · 130 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Pacers52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,199.9917250.6%87 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaccb…61dcbacked Hornets48c8,456$4,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,397.253171%22 W · 9 L+5.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+33.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Pacers53c8,381$4,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,443.2387144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Hornets46c7,500$3,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0502,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3619…a62fbacked Hornets47c6,809$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,608.511353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+19.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Pacers49c6,686$3,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,276.1819954.8%109 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Pacers54c6,646$3,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,571.072,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Hornets47c6,620$3,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,508.4930446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb423…b630backed Pacers52c6,346$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,299.99250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2219…e243backed Pacers51c6,194$3,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,158.895646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x65d6…6d6bbacked Hornets49c6,122$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,122.4512844.5%57 W · 71 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pacers53c6,000$3,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,179.991,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Hornets47c5,172$2,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,740.9119445.4%88 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d72…8f96backed Hornets47c5,106$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,706.38977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+46.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Hornets47c4,913$2,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,604.1342648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cc7…0602backed Hornets48c4,458$2,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,318.339352.7%49 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Pacers55c4,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.9865750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Hornets47c4,000$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,139.8357950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hornets59c3,993$2,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,655.498,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Hornets51c3,717$1,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,821.564,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Hornets48c3,292$1,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,698.321,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcecf…9b6cbacked Hornets48c3,200$1,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6642100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Pacers53c3,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,589.9869149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20c3…2b66backed Hornets48c2,800$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4562100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Hornets47c2,667$1,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,413.332150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Pacers53c2,400$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,27220945.5%95 W · 114 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hornets48c2,380$1,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,245.034,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bee…a369backed Hornets47c2,364$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,252.838148.1%39 W · 42 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Hornets47c2,349$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.9415141.1%62 W · 89 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hornets46c1,930$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.144,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Hornets48c1,840$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.81,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Hornets47c1,612$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.3158347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Pacers52c1,516$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.753,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Hornets48c1,338$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.712,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pacers52c1,165$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.464,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Hornets46c1,157$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.693,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8ff3…1aa9backed Pacers53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53019645.9%90 W · 106 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Pacers18c1,000$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17528929.4%85 W · 204 L-13.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Pacers52c999.99$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52029149.5%144 W · 147 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Pacers52c999.98$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.9926149.4%129 W · 132 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Pacers12c999.31$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9244821.4%96 W · 352 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Hornets47c900$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4771,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Hornets47c868.77$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.7718241.2%75 W · 107 L-17.6wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Hornets48c821.28$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.0751146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Hornets47c774.8$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.773,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eca…6a15backed Hornets48c756$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.129742.3%41 W · 56 L-10.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Hornets48c731.38$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.0920352.2%106 W · 97 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d1e…effebacked Pacers53c660$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.88252.4%43 W · 39 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd2b…4090backed Hornets48c602.17$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.135364.2%34 W · 19 L+6.1wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked Hornets48c589.58$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.589952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Pacers53c566.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008751.7%45 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Pacers54c555.55$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30064944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Pacers52c512.3$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.480737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Hornets80c511.11$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.331,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Hornets47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26523644.1%104 W · 132 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Hornets47c443.71$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.7187453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Hornets48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.6720552.2%107 W · 98 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Hornets47c414.99$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.692,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Hornets49c393.53$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.5414155.3%78 W · 63 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b84…a239backed Pacers53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Hornets46c350$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1891,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Hornets47c346.81$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.8162347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39ac…78f3backed Hornets48c346.14$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.99250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Hornets47c338.35$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.842,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92aa…0341backed Hornets47c253.27$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.2715949.7%79 W · 80 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c16…0272backed Hornets47c250$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.518233%60 W · 122 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Hornets48c250$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13045646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc25…4fa8backed Hornets47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7710849.1%53 W · 55 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Hornets47c211.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.3624151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Pacers52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10491148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc554…00adbacked Pacers55c188.86$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.935038%19 W · 31 L-5.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-28.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Pacers53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028046.8%131 W · 149 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Hornets45c153.86$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.8625847.3%122 W · 136 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Pacers39c153$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6731151.1%159 W · 152 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Hornets48c150$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7849351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4e2…5ec0backed Hornets47c150$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.56253.2%33 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbb0…4c2dbacked Pacers54c145$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.3850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Hornets47c135.55$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.043,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Hornets46c128$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.1223946.4%111 W · 128 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Hornets48c125$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6556547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Hornets47c103.2$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.821,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed Pacers55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5521440.7%87 W · 127 L-16.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Pacers54c99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.461,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Hornets44c97.23$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.4526336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2442…0c2bbacked Pacers53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-64.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Pacers53c94.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.992,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Pacers54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5054549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Pacers53c91.35$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3919435.1%68 W · 126 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe350…61f0backed Pacers52c88.8$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.184650%23 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfedd…32c4backed Hornets48c75$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399655.2%53 W · 43 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0af…5490backed Pacers54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4028856.9%164 W · 124 L-1.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7b70…3102backed Hornets48c70$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.44463.6%28 W · 16 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Hornets46c68.42$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9830151.8%156 W · 145 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb10…1584backed Pacers56c62.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-32.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.