TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Pacers: O/U 230.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,622
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,768

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,622 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over49c30,112$14,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,432.343542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Under51c18,000$9,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,18024045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Over53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3508153.1%43 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under47c4,044$1,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,900.72,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under52c4,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0801,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Under52c3,846$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00026648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over45c3,239$1,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,775.1340243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under51c3,055$1,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,568.164,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under54c2,801$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50065750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over47c2,158$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,144.553,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under52c2,120$1,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092.734,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bde…3800backed Over49c1,768$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.326755.2%37 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under52c1,603$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.5280737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under58c1,587$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.761,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under51c1,477$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.766,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over47c1,133$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.8151354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf98c…bf06backed Over47c1,132$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.911861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+48.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7aa1…fd2dbacked Under53c1,132$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.911241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under54c1,090$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.663,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under55c1,065$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.118,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under51c813.22$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.743,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under47c782$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.542,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe65d…1417backed Under53c679.25$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Over49c506.52$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.5231151.1%159 W · 152 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Under52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26033447.9%160 W · 174 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over40c434.19$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.673,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under35c403.74$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.13,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x387f…282fbacked Under51c392$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over42c384$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.441,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd969…ca13backed Over49c379$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1274…0f3ebacked Under51c378$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.78520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd28e…c8a5backed Over48c374.36$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa043…826ebacked Over49c370$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce6…b65cbacked Under51c364$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x517d…0321backed Under52c361$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under52c358$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.161,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72b2…b136backed Over49c350$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Over47c348.57$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.5626336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…0cecbacked Under52c348$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abd…c5f6backed Over48c347$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ba8…437cbacked Over49c333$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x740b…fc78backed Over48c330$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under54c328$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.961,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under52c327.85$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.429,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed38…fdaabacked Under52c325$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea6c…a434backed Under51c322$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.22633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3f…12a5backed Over49c319$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ad8…74a4backed Under52c317$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.84450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4428…6e96backed Over49c316$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8fe…9f73backed Over48c306.1$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.177044.3%31 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66c5…0fffbacked Under51c306$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f74…aa35backed Under52c306$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc29…3606backed Under51c305$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.55333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7cc…f284backed Over48c303$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.56450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2724…66e1backed Over48c302$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.04425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf948…fcbebacked Under52c301$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8808…0f6dbacked Over48c301$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Under55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16562347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over56c296.81$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.293,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over47c277.51$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.422,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Over47c260$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.845646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under53c226.42$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12034854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Over47c188.89$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.1134855.2%192 W · 156 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over48c183$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.651,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over48c176.17$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.931,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under52c156.84$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.2890357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over46c154.45$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.41,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Under56c144$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8161939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under46c141.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.675,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over51c134$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.722,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Over47c130$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.956547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Over44c126.33$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4819435.1%68 W · 126 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Under52c120$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.417148%82 W · 89 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under58c116.47$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.621,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2d8…480bbacked Over42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.871478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick60cpaid+39.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x468d…cf23backed Under54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544546.7%21 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over47c99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.471,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd583…bd91backed Under53c97.36$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under53c94.32$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.992,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over71c72$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.242,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc887…c181backed Under55c65.53$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.04728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick65cpaid-55.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Under53c64.5$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4517844.4%79 W · 99 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over41c63.48$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.453,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9423…bba6backed Over55c59.5$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.781450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under54c57.31$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.951,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfffb…5f95backed Under56c53.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3024150.2%121 W · 120 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9901…6adbbacked Over48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6713843.5%60 W · 78 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Under58c39.43$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8727745.8%127 W · 150 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db0…f397backed Under56c38$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.354348.8%21 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27cf…979abacked Under48c33.32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.995736.8%21 W · 36 L-7.6wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-35.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc554…00adbacked Under56c30.83$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.145038%19 W · 31 L-5.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-28.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over48c30.12$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.662,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.966646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b35…768ebacked Under53c29.25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.622948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…1a20backed Under52c27.08$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.082352.2%12 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc95f…357fbacked Over47c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7216852.4%88 W · 80 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ed…de73backed Over70c23.97$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.191752.9%9 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+36.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd4e…1483backed Under55c21.82$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9786…b15cbacked Under52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.47652.6%40 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.