TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Pacers: O/U 229.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$147,440
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$150,785

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,440 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over50c50,000$24,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,001.471,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under50c34,172$17,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,000.3717249.4%85 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over51c16,895$8,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,309.7843542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over51c10,325$5,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,068.11,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Under49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,899.8759653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under49c7,694$3,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,781.923,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under50c6,817$3,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,401.032,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Over53c6,002$3,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,842.991,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over52c5,730$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,729.621,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Under51c3,922$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00026648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under51c3,922$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00021943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under50c3,903$1,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,965.882,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c3,522$1,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,737.538,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under49c3,433$1,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,690.214,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c3,417$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,639.944,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under53c3,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,589.9969149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Under50c2,880$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44038750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Under53c2,741$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,440.1127052.6%142 W · 128 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x034b…b22bbacked Over47c2,702$1,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,432.133070%21 W · 9 L+4.6wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+18%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Over49c2,526$1,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,288.4851844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under47c2,366$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,112.772,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over51c2,048$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.782,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00048054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.991,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under51c1,400$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.9280737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over51c1,380$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.276,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under45c1,150$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.913,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x79b0…ea3bbacked Under53c1,130$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.915154.3%82 W · 69 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c1,110$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.615,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over47c1,050$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.571547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under49c1,012$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.522,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0e3…c09fbacked Over48c852.94$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.536953.6%37 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over47c807$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.7123850%119 W · 119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under49c800$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.353,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d1e…effebacked Under53c660$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.88252.4%43 W · 39 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30067252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under54c555.55$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30064944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under51c542.97$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.264,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6445…0d8fbacked Over50c526$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76a0…78aabacked Over50c504$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+48.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5173…a2adbacked Over50c502$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Over51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24530641.8%128 W · 178 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25050754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Over51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2458547.1%40 W · 45 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…2f5abacked Over50c486$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcec6…6f12backed Over50c482$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4067…5a26backed Under50c480$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c479.48$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.339,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5ab…b72abacked Under50c476$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9081…6683backed Under50c476$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbee0…52bdbacked Over50c470$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2355100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x078e…4c31backed Under50c468.3$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7199…0560backed Over50c468$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Over50c463$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.554443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc417…6566backed Under50c462$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26cb…293ebacked Under50c460$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f76…fb28backed Under50c452$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4833…efd1backed Over50c450$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6412…e23fbacked Under52c438$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under45c437.78$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.085,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdeee…bc77backed Under50c432$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4741…0036backed Over50c432$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Over47c421.28$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.285558.2%32 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f72…8fe7backed Over50c416$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2082100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67ff…b69cbacked Under50c412$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick51cpaid+48.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb361…0733backed Under50c410$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9269…bcb1backed Under50c408$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x605d…cec3backed Over50c402.23$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.2315450.6%78 W · 76 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0fb…db6ebacked Over50c392$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1caf…c02ebacked Under50c388$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0c8…099dbacked Over50c388$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Over46c387.99$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.5224151.9%125 W · 116 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe068…aca7backed Under50c384$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdd…5f08backed Under50c382$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfe2…30b9backed Under50c382$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda01…dfa9backed Under50c378$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7c0…1f0abacked Under50c376$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x922d…24b0backed Over50c376$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1882100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf836…f39cbacked Over50c376$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.8827059.6%161 W · 109 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ece…0a86backed Over50c374$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1872100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fc8…5100backed Over50c372$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+62.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x97cf…1e4abacked Under50c368$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ab5…ee15backed Over50c366$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55c4…dde0backed Under50c360$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa18a…2251backed Over50c352$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+48.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fd7…8281backed Under50c352$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff72…19cdbacked Over50c352$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5292…99b7backed Over50c350$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1752100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaac9…2331backed Under50c346$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb18a…509fbacked Under50c344$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x490b…67b6backed Over50c340$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1702100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a9e…6685backed Over50c340$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1702100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac9c…faebbacked Over50c334$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551b…839fbacked Over50c334$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1672100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x888f…a30cbacked Under50c326$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49c8…e2f6backed Under50c322$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0319…d013backed Over50c322$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ff2…2dfbbacked Under50c316$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb55a…b51bbacked Over50c314$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.