NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Pacers: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x353f36e68552fd7bf069f19181515fd264c77ee87daecffa6f1abbab2d3bb607
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,242
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,457
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,242 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Over | 52c | 5,918$3,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,848.98 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 48c | 1,760$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.11 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 1,628$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.67 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over | 53c | 1,382$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.54 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 1,140$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.55 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 47c | 887.21$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.07 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 43c | 873.85$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.32 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Over | 51c | 812.94$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.4 | 348 | 55.2%192 W · 156 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 49c | 612.22$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 497.94$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.82 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 403.12$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.1 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 52c | 365.23$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.96 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 49c | 359.87$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.53 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Under | 51c | 300$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 51c | 247.29$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.17 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 48c | 233.47$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.41 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 50c | 223.11$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.56 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…db9dbacked Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Over | 55c | 180.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.67 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 45c | 179.42$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.4 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 46c | 174.08$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 47c | 145$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.15 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0339…1394backed Over | 50c | 144$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 48c | 128.5$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.79 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Over | 51c | 118.39$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.01 | 260 | 43.8%114 W · 146 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 44c | 116.09$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.59 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 51c | 104.84$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.37 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 48c | 104.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Over | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | +15.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Over | 48c | 100.15$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.62 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9c…e966backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeabb…0cf6backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x819a…4b03backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 52c | 45.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked Under | 55c | 38.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Under | 46c | 32.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Under | 33c | 30.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 106 | 37.7%40 W · 66 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…2985backed Over | 53c | 30.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c05…639ebacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…049abacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 180 | 54.4%98 W · 82 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Over | 51c | 29.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9693…1c29backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f377backed Over | 60c | 18.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Pacers: O/U 228.5this page
- Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Brandon Miller: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Coby White: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Coby White: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Coby White: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Hornets vs. PacersHornets won
- Hornets vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Hornets vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Pacers: O/U 229.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Pacers: O/U 230.5Over won
- Jarace Walker: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Jay Huff: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Kon Knueppel: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Miles Bridges: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Spread: Hornets (-12.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-13.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.