Premier League · resolved market
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b4107279dd4d2354ed399f5dd0fdfa391951dd2fb0ceab508cd43c04b5b7346
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $146,274
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $153,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,274 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 30c | 37,731$11,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,448.84 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…4f48backed Yes | 26c | 25,908$6,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,635 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 9,847$6,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,874.42 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1842…b628backed Yes | 74c | 7,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200.09 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 6,922$5,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,738.35 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 73c | 5,656$4,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.39 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 4,872$3,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 25c | 3,596$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.49 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 74c | 3,000$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 465 | 51.8%241 W · 224 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 70c | 2,788$1,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.46 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 75c | 2,600$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 72c | 2,517$1,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,809.03 | 196 | 54.6%107 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2015…3ddcbacked Yes | 74c | 2,403$1,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,767.83 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 8c | 2,234$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,064.05 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…f52fbacked Yes | 24c | 2,095$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.72 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…e2b3backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ca…e25abacked Yes | 76c | 1,688$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.34 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.41per pick | 74cpaid | -54%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Yes | 55c | 1,596$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.56 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 42c | 1,581$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.5 | 255 | 30.2%77 W · 178 L | -22.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Yes | 29c | 1,543$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 198 | 26.3%52 W · 146 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 72c | 1,487$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.8 | 964 | 45.4%438 W · 526 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc347…97bdbacked Yes | 2c | 1,335$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 31c | 1,297$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.99 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 75c | 1,200$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 73c | 1,156$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.52 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 31c | 1,136$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.06 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae17…b10dbacked Yes | 61c | 1,120$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.56 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 63c | 999.99$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb163…4129backed Yes | 73c | 915.15$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.06 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 31c | 914.37$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.63 | 209 | 31.6%66 W · 143 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 75c | 884.96$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.58 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Yes | 24c | 833.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 174 | 28.2%49 W · 125 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 51c | 798$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.52 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f0…6718backed Yes | 72c | 738.92$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 50c | 702.6$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 89 | 27%24 W · 65 L | -11.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe37e…0009backed Yes | 73c | 689.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 72c | 632.12$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.02 | 772 | 36.4%281 W · 491 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…6507backed Yes | 32c | 624.77$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -5.5wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cb…7b9bbacked Yes | 75c | 624$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -5.4wins | -0.23per pick | 58cpaid | -37%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3a13…db82backed No | 75c | 569.6$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.4 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 30c | 511.31$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.18 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 25c | 489$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.25 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c80…aa9abacked No | 35c | 471.23$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.25 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 25c | 453$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.25 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 52c | 450$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -6.8wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09a5…0306backed Yes | 48c | 434.84$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.73 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 67c | 424.94$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.22 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Yes | 60c | 404.31$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.63 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…7d57backed Yes | 75c | 400.83$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a44…e974backed Yes | 50c | 400.2$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x471c…9e94backed Yes | 56c | 394.84$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.7 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 25c | 394.68$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.67 | 200 | 27%54 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Yes | 58c | 390.9$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Yes | 72c | 365$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.75 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8e…27ffbacked Yes | 62c | 363.02$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.36 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d7…a36dbacked Yes | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -10.7wins | -0.49per pick | 53cpaid | -92.5%equal weight | 25-0.23 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 39c | 309.8$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.92 | 290 | 41.7%121 W · 169 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe798…b668backed Yes | 74c | 302.56$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 185 | 51.9%96 W · 89 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Yes | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Yes | 74c | 270.1$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Yes | 19c | 270$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 46c | 269.13$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.62 | 182 | 51.6%94 W · 88 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…afaabacked Yes | 79c | 253.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…9fddbacked Yes | 19c | 240.34$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74be…d9dbbacked Yes | 25c | 240$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…95c4backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed No | 73c | 229.79$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 300 | 50.3%151 W · 149 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb460…041fbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…e46cbacked Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed No | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Yes | 73c | 199.87$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.43 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bf…5d96backed Yes | 78c | 196$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.88 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 29c | 190$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…6a54backed Yes | 25c | 180$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 56c | 176$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.68 | 250 | 52%130 W · 120 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9a…796cbacked Yes | 74c | 174.39$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.05 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…0e32backed Yes | 74c | 171.14$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.64 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x884c…851fbacked No | 32c | 164.37$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 26c | 156.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 210 | 43.8%92 W · 118 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 39c | 153.81$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.08 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…a5cebacked Yes | 27c | 140.74$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe513…3328backed Yes | 55c | 138.9$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -4.6wins | -0.39per pick | 55cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 77c | 136$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 76c | 132$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 75c | 123.27$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed No | 54c | 120.93$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.83 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4b…b015backed Yes | 26c | 120.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.33 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-07?No won
- Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.