TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$244,399
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$251,157

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $244,399 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes30c24,407$7,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,352.311,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55a1…db28backed Yes50c20,327$10,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,182.57955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…ff7fbacked Yes0c20,049$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No70c10,671$7,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,220.162,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x007f…fb6cbacked Yes0c10,005$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.05837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed No51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9009845.9%45 W · 53 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed No53c6,000$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,849.6512642.9%54 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes18c5,150$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92768026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No49c4,008$1,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,044.082,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49d1…2a44backed No50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0002556%14 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd678…cf66backed No52c3,200$1,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,536366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+92.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes2c3,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601305.4%7 W · 123 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-38.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes17c3,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.9920448.5%99 W · 105 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes17c2,669$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44117833.7%60 W · 118 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8f2…22a3backed Yes49c2,500$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2253655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+31.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes27c2,139$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.0724146.1%111 W · 130 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5bb…a429backed No51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9801060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1842…b628backed Yes76c2,000$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5201560%9 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Yes17c2,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3407929.1%23 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes21c1,745$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.624,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Yes46c1,739$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8002642.3%11 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Yes47c1,711$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.3416851.2%86 W · 82 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes61c1,549$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.5125052%130 W · 120 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Yes18c1,500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2703135.5%11 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-29.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes19c1,356$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.771,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked Yes16c1,255$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004526.7%12 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed No28c1,245$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.398842%37 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79f5…5952backed Yes18c1,111$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20050%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes45c1,044$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47010426.9%28 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes70c1,030$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.287353.4%39 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19041437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes17c1,000$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16623325.8%60 W · 173 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce24…6239backed Yes42c999.99$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4218134.6%28 W · 53 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+29.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde1b…ccc9backed No36c899.98$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.99633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes67c897.59$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.2369772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6e92…5f14backed Yes6c833.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b9b…e915backed Yes14c719.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+128.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes45c666.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30053134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e82…86f6backed Yes46c652.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003762.2%23 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6cb…7b9bbacked Yes70c599.12$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.212334.8%8 W · 15 L-5.4wins-0.23per pick58cpaid-37%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes19c590$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.114456.3%81 W · 63 L+13.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+25.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes20c551.84$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.1242324.3%103 W · 320 L-36.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-47%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Yes45c540.39$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.1813829%40 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed Yes18c535.32$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.94949%24 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc39…e02fbacked Yes71c503.56$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.53250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x44bc…c53ebacked Yes68c500$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3401030%3 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-51.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked No56c498.79$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.7930050.7%152 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes60c494.99$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.3661441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes3c491.11$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1727024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed No55c484.05$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.6718841.5%78 W · 110 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Yes42c439.99$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.84146.3%19 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Yes52c415.17$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.992744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3492…9fddbacked Yes7c386.91$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.86633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-52.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94cd…8903backed Yes24c372.31$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884055%22 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e1…d431backed No56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.142941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42f3…1e83backed Yes36c347.18$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.262516%4 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes20c338.76$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6125532.9%84 W · 171 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes35c336.12$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.618251.6%94 W · 88 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed Yes44c334.99$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.411346%52 W · 61 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x929c…fe32backed Yes70c317.14$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No28c316$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.5296645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Yes19c300$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5751847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa122…9847backed Yes69c289.86$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004839.6%19 W · 29 L-7.9wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-30.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Yes18c277.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.991963.2%12 W · 7 L+4.4wins+0.23per pick40cpaid+52.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No71c270.27$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5929041.7%121 W · 169 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66eb…3945backed Yes37c269.74$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+163.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Yes15c268.44$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9320931.6%66 W · 143 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f43…a080backed Yes9c259.22$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.391668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb36…10a3backed Yes20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.27per pick45cpaid-66.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9058…a2c2backed No51c243.14$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.143435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked No33c242.42$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.4211227.7%31 W · 81 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x286e…7d04backed Yes14c237.85$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.41729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdff3…70e4backed Yes18c233.94$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.431637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Yes6c233.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148746%40 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No69c227.26$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2857744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes28c219.13$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3825530.2%77 W · 178 L-22.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1c80…aa9abacked No42c213.31$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.213351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x53d3…ba87backed Yes75c200.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-40.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x11e8…5b74backed Yes76c200$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1521040%4 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc3ae…5833backed Yes11c200$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233613.9%5 W · 31 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-52.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes18c194.44$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3529735.4%105 W · 192 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1543…623cbacked Yes72c192.32$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.474643.5%20 W · 26 L-6.3wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-18%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009654.2%52 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb163…4129backed Yes69c184.06$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1275238.5%20 W · 32 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked No25c180.07$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.757138%27 W · 44 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes17c180.01$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.758445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes14c178.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257447.3%35 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7c1…b554backed Yes15c168.75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.21833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb35…54eebacked Yes48c168.03$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x857b…8eeebacked Yes18c166.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307429.7%22 W · 52 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5f6…ac93backed Yes18c161.11$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2930%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3665…0212backed Yes19c157.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011444.7%51 W · 63 L+10.1wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+27.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Yes69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007149.3%35 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d45…6b5cbacked No56c142.86$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.86977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.29per pick48cpaid+77.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8bf3…a5cebacked Yes72c139.38$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid+49.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes18c138.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2532737.6%123 W · 204 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceef…9994backed Yes72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x22ad…fcb7backed Yes35c138.4$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No62c129.76$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.318153.1%43 W · 38 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207949.4%39 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.