TailMyPicks

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College Football · resolved market

UConn vs. Rice

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Riceof UConn, Rice
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$89,324
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$89,866

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,324 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x066e…ceb2backed Rice32c10,967$3,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,488.496030%18 W · 42 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Rice14c9,438$1,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,126.6364841.2%267 W · 381 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Rice24c8,828$2,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,692.7840541.2%167 W · 238 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rice24c8,080$1,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,154.7386243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Rice20c6,809$1,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,467.1562843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed UConn70c5,734$4,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,002.5485947.7%410 W · 449 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Rice43c4,397$1,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,489.5523751.1%121 W · 116 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Rice19c4,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2406731.3%21 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Rice73c3,304$2,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.313149.6%65 W · 66 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa447…cc98backed UConn39c2,563$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed UConn65c2,353$1,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,535.3963243.7%276 W · 356 L+34.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+138.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Rice24c2,250$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,717.0734529.9%103 W · 242 L-21.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9621…b76cbacked UConn57c1,500$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8501560%9 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+94.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Rice22c1,324$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.0439954.1%216 W · 183 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked UConn76c1,312$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.4650358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1699…7644backed UConn73c1,287$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed Rice38c999.99$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6203030%9 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-39.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed UConn1c888$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.212370.8%2 W · 235 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-98.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Rice22c700$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54613531.9%43 W · 92 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4592…77aebacked Rice33c660$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+201.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0432…1660backed Rice30c602.82$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.979635.4%34 W · 62 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e2b…383dbacked Rice19c526.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.321250%6 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+41.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Rice19c500$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4053423.5%8 W · 26 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick14cpaid+40.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Rice43c499.99$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2853250%16 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Rice30c470.14$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.9955350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked UConn76c378.47$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.642748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Rice17c374$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.3357144.7%255 W · 316 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked UConn77c326.13$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.1249443.7%216 W · 278 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Rice34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.1220039.5%79 W · 121 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Rice73c252.22$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.3426750.9%136 W · 131 L+21.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbd38…4712backed UConn64c251.83$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2a0…d410backed Rice19c251.81$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+160.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b54…cb72backed UConn55c234.35$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Rice22c218.93$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.767126.8%19 W · 52 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a2…1aabbacked Rice46c218.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.141330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick24cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Rice22c199.95$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.9628032.9%92 W · 188 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7eee…d930backed Rice50c198.11$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.11366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed UConn78c186$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.8334250.3%172 W · 170 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Rice54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1939847.7%190 W · 208 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked UConn6c173$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.171360%0 W · 136 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6b8…d54cbacked Rice13c153.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.851020%2 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick17cpaid+32.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd87…dd8bbacked Rice17c150$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.54411.4%5 W · 39 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Rice22c149.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.9917634.7%61 W · 115 L+11.6wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4243…35d1backed Rice17c140.25$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.31258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+51.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a65…8ab3backed UConn62c138.25$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.71450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b6…b02ebacked Rice36c130.56$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.566232.3%20 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9334…32dabacked UConn78c128.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018868.1%128 W · 60 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick69cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45cd…26a5backed UConn78c128.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8c0…be99backed UConn78c127.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006558.5%38 W · 27 L+0.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1e1…293abacked UConn78c127.61$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Rice59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.514945.6%68 W · 81 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b90…3d27backed Rice10c100$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9011022.7%25 W · 85 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ad4…16b7backed UConn10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133b…faa8backed Rice22c96.95$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.627041.4%29 W · 41 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed Rice22c90.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.93231.3%10 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick21cpaid+136.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x58bc…a883backed Rice23c86.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.965036%18 W · 32 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Rice23c86.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9616044.4%71 W · 89 L-15.7wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-22.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x2cb8…76b4backed UConn78c76.92$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ee…a8aebacked Rice27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.07955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00d6…aa44backed Rice21c70.8$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2712718.9%24 W · 103 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Rice38c65.79$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.796861.8%42 W · 26 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x94d3…cabfbacked Rice22c65$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.74533.3%15 W · 30 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd62b…86d0backed UConn78c64.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507867.9%53 W · 25 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b2b…5752backed Rice33c60.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.616630.3%20 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe254…3610backed UConn25c60.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Rice23c56$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1254243.2%234 W · 308 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Rice22c50.21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1625629.3%75 W · 181 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95a5…4f7cbacked Rice29c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick35cpaid+67%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed UConn56c49.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0830548.9%149 W · 156 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb05e…4fcebacked Rice31c44.72$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.752352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed UConn40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.81414.3%2 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.25per pick40cpaid-68.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd9bc…80f7backed UConn42c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.81070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+37.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c61…5213backed UConn78c38.46$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305662.5%35 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa641…64f0backed Rice32c35.94$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.443100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+170.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ac7…597ebacked UConn44c34.89$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.351127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick35cpaid+74.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8c3…f46ebacked UConn69c34.66$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243735.1%13 W · 24 L-4.7wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-31.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9dcd…651cbacked UConn80c33.96$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.171030%3 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-37.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5024…fba2backed UConn64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3b9…c68cbacked UConn60c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3235…5a6bbacked UConn77c30$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-56.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3857…6605backed UConn69c26.09$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2cf…e2b3backed UConn78c25.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30db…07c3backed UConn80c25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ef1…c976backed UConn76c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaa0…2016backed UConn70c17.78$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88e2…1956backed UConn78c12.89$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0510030%30 W · 70 L-10.5wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-17.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.