TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8823…37cc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NFL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 54 out of 100; worst Music at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$10.1
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.29
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$14.44
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$17.37
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+77.2%+$19.3
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+65.6%+$19.68
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST1866.7%12 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+41.4%+$8.28
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Kings vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+45.1%+$14.87
Clippers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Nuggets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$42
Heat vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+35.9%+$9.7
Timberwolves vs. Pelicansbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+25.1%+$3.01
Lakers vs. Raptorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+105.2%+$14.73
Jazz vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+47.4%+$6.91
Raptors vs. Hornetsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Kings vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+28.2%+$4.23
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+52.2%+$7.83
Cavaliers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+67.4%+$22.92
Grizzlies vs. Pelicansbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+29.8%+$25.71
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+31%+$12.4
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Hawks vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+63.1%+$34.72
All 18 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. UNC Asheville Bulldogsbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+25.7%+$5.4
Long Beach State Beach vs. UC Santa Barbara Gauchosbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+46%+$8.29
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+39.2%+$5.88
USC Trojans vs. Seton Hall Piratesbacked Seton Hall Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 4 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Broncos vs. Commandersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+32.1%+$8.98
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+70%+$8.69
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+45.2%+$27.41
All 3 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Legacy (BO3)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Fluxo (BO1)backed Fluxo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+38.9%+$5.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Utrecht vs. FC Twente '65 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+25%+$5
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$58.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+359.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+359.6%+$43.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bangladesh T20 Series: Bangladesh vs Ireland (Game 1)backed Ireland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+75.6%+$15.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+37%+$7.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+32.1%+$4.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fresno State vs. San Jose Statebacked Fresno State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+27.1%+$17.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Cremonese win on 2025-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+26.6%+$3.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dallas Open: Adam Walton vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+25%+$7.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2025-12-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+25%+$5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Liquid Brazil vs G2 Gozen (BO3)backed G2 Gozen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Tidebound (BO1)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.