Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Long Beach State Beach vs. UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb107b8ff7c182f862fd41dcb23e0102946ff71d26d107753d79c69b6b3c7ec0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UC Santa Barbara Gauchosof Long Beach State Beach, UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,738
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,142
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,738 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 72c | 13,895$10,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,890.5 | 116 | 62.1%72 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Long Beach State Beach | 11c | 10,000$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.09 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Long Beach State Beach | 37c | 8,307$3,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,099.03 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 78c | 2,060$1,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.33 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 78c | 1,485$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.28 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e7…4dc1backed Long Beach State Beach | 32c | 1,331$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.8 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1156…cd4abacked Long Beach State Beach | 2c | 1,225$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Long Beach State Beach | 24c | 1,063$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.33 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Long Beach State Beach | 11c | 889.08$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.8 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Long Beach State Beach | 12c | 800$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Long Beach State Beach | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.9 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Long Beach State Beach | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Long Beach State Beach | 28c | 503.55$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.99 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked Long Beach State Beach | 24c | 406.02$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.32 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Long Beach State Beach | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70de…b98ebacked Long Beach State Beach | 19c | 283.16$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Long Beach State Beach | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Long Beach State Beach | 12c | 167$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…a47abacked Long Beach State Beach | 17c | 151.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 60c | 145$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…e73fbacked Long Beach State Beach | 14c | 143.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 23cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65fd…5dd3backed Long Beach State Beach | 41c | 133.32$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.24 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8a…c4e7backed Long Beach State Beach | 19c | 114.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c2…4fd5backed Long Beach State Beach | 13c | 109.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca1…8becbacked Long Beach State Beach | 23c | 102.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Long Beach State Beach | 12c | 100.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…4da1backed Long Beach State Beach | 36c | 98.51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00cc…f9d2backed Long Beach State Beach | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bae…61b8backed Long Beach State Beach | 34c | 74.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Long Beach State Beach | 17c | 67.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Long Beach State Beach | 17c | 64.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cc…0540backed Long Beach State Beach | 37c | 54.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd475…3327backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 60c | 48.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…b07dbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 78c | 44.36$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…3aa8backed Long Beach State Beach | 37c | 40.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaae…e336backed Long Beach State Beach | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…385bbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11c1…7fe5backed Long Beach State Beach | 32c | 34.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8823…37ccbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 68c | 26.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 62c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad91…389cbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 76cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…02dbbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 60c | 19.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 35 | 77.1%27 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.