TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Ole Miss Rebels vs. Iowa Hawkeyes

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Iowa Hawkeyesof Ole Miss Rebels, Iowa Hawkeyes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,673
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,805

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,673 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcb43…3c74backed Iowa Hawkeyes64c4,500$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,619.9928539.6%113 W · 172 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Ole Miss Rebels36c3,855$1,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,391.122,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Ole Miss Rebels37c2,959$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.8915556.1%87 W · 68 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+32.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Iowa Hawkeyes62c2,200$1,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.3112,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Ole Miss Rebels37c2,050$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.910511.4%12 W · 93 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-51.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Iowa Hawkeyes63c1,773$1,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.521,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Iowa Hawkeyes63c1,488$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.655657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0432…1660backed Iowa Hawkeyes63c1,434$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.343158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0679…e5aabacked Iowa Hawkeyes64c1,219$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.272568%17 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Iowa Hawkeyes65c1,163$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.8215557.4%89 W · 66 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Ole Miss Rebels34c1,038$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.95,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Iowa Hawkeyes69c1,034$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.123,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e5c…c9eebacked Iowa Hawkeyes60c1,026$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.533174.2%23 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+21.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Ole Miss Rebels35c999.99$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Ole Miss Rebels39c873.11$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.657145.1%32 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea81…eeaebacked Ole Miss Rebels40c800$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3201,22727.8%341 W · 886 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98a3…d61ebacked Ole Miss Rebels34c800$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2722035%7 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x045d…d649backed Iowa Hawkeyes58c685.26$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.262642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Ole Miss Rebels38c678.66$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.662,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Ole Miss Rebels35c619.21$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.384,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Ole Miss Rebels32c573.13$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.5323941.4%99 W · 140 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Ole Miss Rebels37c562.73$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.561,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x094e…f10bbacked Iowa Hawkeyes64c555$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.82123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.8wins-0.23per pick47cpaid-59.1%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Ole Miss Rebels35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1752227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.9wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-45.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Iowa Hawkeyes63c460$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.47143.7%31 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x82b5…1d1dbacked Iowa Hawkeyes67c447.76$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.761442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Iowa Hawkeyes66c431.07$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.421,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Ole Miss Rebels38c386.79$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.9835452.3%185 W · 169 L+17.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21df…fdbcbacked Iowa Hawkeyes62c345$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.65750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Ole Miss Rebels32c341.59$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.1145644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Iowa Hawkeyes63c300$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11114150.4%71 W · 70 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Ole Miss Rebels34c267$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.7833438.9%130 W · 204 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x363d…fe75backed Iowa Hawkeyes64c265.63$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.6312245.1%55 W · 67 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5329…cd54backed Ole Miss Rebels39c220.36$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Iowa Hawkeyes72c212.34$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.21,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c8…f30abacked Ole Miss Rebels35c199.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701625%4 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebc2…0ca5backed Ole Miss Rebels27c184.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e99…8475backed Iowa Hawkeyes65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed Iowa Hawkeyes64c149.52$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.395949.2%29 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b7…d976backed Iowa Hawkeyes75c146.47$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.62333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50bb…9aa6backed Iowa Hawkeyes64c125$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Ole Miss Rebels34c112.2$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.532,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd461…1d6cbacked Ole Miss Rebels38c105.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402326.1%6 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-32.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x060f…df1cbacked Iowa Hawkeyes66c105$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Iowa Hawkeyes71c102.55$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.072,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Ole Miss Rebels36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3682048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3406…3233backed Iowa Hawkeyes64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362369.6%16 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe2d6…f016backed Iowa Hawkeyes66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Ole Miss Rebels38c96$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.021,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked Iowa Hawkeyes77c85.89$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Ole Miss Rebels36c84$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2434947.9%167 W · 182 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Ole Miss Rebels38c75.16$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4539144.5%174 W · 217 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Ole Miss Rebels39c70.25$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.173,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed Iowa Hawkeyes67c65$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.357660.5%46 W · 30 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbf5…2fefbacked Iowa Hawkeyes63c64.86$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd9fa…6745backed Ole Miss Rebels41c63.69$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.95966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+59.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Iowa Hawkeyes65c61.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5415055.3%83 W · 67 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7580…cb71backed Ole Miss Rebels29c54.46$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.05333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-50.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Ole Miss Rebels34c53.13$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9264322.9%147 W · 496 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a2e…6200backed Iowa Hawkeyes64c52.96$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.261250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecf4…9979backed Iowa Hawkeyes64c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3b0…d159backed Iowa Hawkeyes63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.51010%1 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick38cpaid-84.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xce0a…2d88backed Iowa Hawkeyes65c49.23$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.237557.3%43 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Ole Miss Rebels35c45.39$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.031,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb84…81b2backed Iowa Hawkeyes64c41.86$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.861060%6 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x641b…6116backed Iowa Hawkeyes65c41.02$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.36650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ab…361bbacked Iowa Hawkeyes61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.799821.4%21 W · 77 L-17.7wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-55.5%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xd709…5756backed Iowa Hawkeyes66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x393e…7b02backed Iowa Hawkeyes67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.85450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224b…5dfabacked Iowa Hawkeyes62c25.81$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.813063.3%19 W · 11 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+27%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8823…37ccbacked Iowa Hawkeyes72c20.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.88475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c62…0ba1backed Iowa Hawkeyes74c20.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Iowa Hawkeyes62c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.61,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeab2…7e7cbacked Iowa Hawkeyes57c19.3$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Iowa Hawkeyes66c17.06$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.755,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.