NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Wizards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b88f04d52ac4de93b80543659a4d5c510a9f5b2b615b55345715127151e7506
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Hawks, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,729,960
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,603,062
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,729,960 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 720 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Wizards | 41c | 252,097$104,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147,524.69 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Wizards | 18c | 234,202$41,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192,456.74 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Wizards | 18c | 175,378$30,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144,485.75 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Hawks | 1c | 161,346$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.79 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Hawks | 0c | 61,845$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.48 | 216 | 5.6%12 W · 204 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Wizards | 17c | 55,555$9,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,110.38 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked Hawks | 37c | 49,446$18,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,300.46 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -8.5wins | -0.25per pick | 37cpaid | -62%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Wizards | 73c | 43,918$32,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,891.49 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Hawks | 18c | 41,330$7,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,367.42 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Wizards | 19c | 35,566$6,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,808.67 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards | 18c | 33,648$5,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,699.17 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd123…d341backed Wizards | 73c | 30,208$22,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,104.97 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Wizards | 19c | 28,961$5,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,500.65 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Wizards | 18c | 28,900$5,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,655.98 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards | 59c | 28,093$16,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,543.81 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Wizards | 18c | 26,994$4,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,134.87 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…770cbacked Hawks | 33c | 26,649$8,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,742.15 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Hawks | 0c | 21,320$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.22 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16da…ef29backed Hawks | 8c | 20,585$1,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.07 | 129 | 60.5%78 W · 51 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Wizards | 17c | 20,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,599.97 | 58 | 15.5%9 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Wizards | 18c | 20,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,399.91 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Hawks | 0c | 19,667$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Hawks | 0c | 17,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Wizards | 18c | 16,981$3,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,924.19 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Hawks | 76c | 16,240$12,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,274.53 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Wizards | 19c | 16,065$3,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,937.47 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wizards | 47c | 15,294$7,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,094.98 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Hawks | 42c | 15,000$6,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,249.98 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5224…0de8backed Wizards | 41c | 14,809$6,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,737.39 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Wizards | 18c | 13,807$2,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,286 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff12…09f9backed Wizards | 76c | 13,324$10,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,229 | 193 | 88.1%170 W · 23 L | +48.6wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xc08b…e35bbacked Hawks | 1c | 13,147$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +7.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Hawks | 34c | 11,450$3,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,871.93 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Wizards | 19c | 10,528$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,527.68 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Hawks | 53c | 10,439$5,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,517.04 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Wizards | 71c | 10,200$7,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,918.1 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x240c…bd0dbacked Wizards | 18c | 10,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,200 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd6…918ebacked Hawks | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 68 | 11.8%8 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Wizards | 18c | 10,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,199.9 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Wizards | 18c | 10,000$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,149.79 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19fd…5838backed Wizards | 17c | 9,999$1,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,326.41 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Hawks | 32c | 9,477$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Wizards | 27c | 9,187$2,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,706.07 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Wizards | 17c | 9,150$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,594.37 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wizards | 17c | 9,062$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,537.58 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Wizards | 18c | 9,062$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,415.54 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Wizards | 18c | 8,769$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,190.29 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked Wizards | 40c | 8,600$3,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,162 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Wizards | 17c | 8,500$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,054.91 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Wizards | 17c | 8,400$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,987.96 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Hawks | 18c | 8,146$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.67 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Hawks | 30c | 8,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d62…476cbacked Wizards | 18c | 7,533$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,176.82 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.7wins | +0.34per pick | 57cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Wizards | 17c | 7,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,224.98 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x656c…7f2dbacked Wizards | 18c | 7,251$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,945.87 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 41cpaid | +157.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Wizards | 55c | 6,909$3,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,140.48 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Wizards | 17c | 6,847$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,681.57 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Wizards | 63c | 6,520$4,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,434.99 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Hawks | 35c | 6,426$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222.14 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Hawks | 28c | 6,373$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.7 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Hawks | 52c | 5,939$3,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,065.06 | 294 | 58.5%172 W · 122 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Hawks | 27c | 5,776$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.07 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Hawks | 0c | 5,739$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Wizards | 18c | 5,739$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,705.89 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e9…a5afbacked Wizards | 18c | 5,627$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,613.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2e…6200backed Hawks | 3c | 5,486$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.72 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Wizards | 19c | 5,400$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,374 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdafd…5ffbbacked Wizards | 66c | 5,285$3,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,805.9 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Hawks | 7c | 5,208$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.5 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d9…a6e1backed Wizards | 58c | 5,207$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,207.07 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed Hawks | 40c | 5,138$2,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,073 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wizards | 59c | 5,079$2,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,083.56 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 19c | 5,050$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,090.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Hawks | 53c | 5,050$2,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,654.97 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Wizards | 16c | 5,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…51e3backed Wizards | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc90…ec0cbacked Hawks | 2c | 4,760$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.41 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2006…cc76backed Hawks | 58c | 4,750$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3605…1ae1backed Hawks | 20c | 4,745$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.22 | 230 | 43%99 W · 131 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Wizards | 19c | 4,421$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,581.15 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Wizards | 18c | 4,378$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,589.97 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeff7…4bb3backed Hawks | 49c | 4,242$2,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,096 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.8wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Hawks | 32c | 4,021$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.89 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf4…8860backed Wizards | 18c | 4,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,280 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b59…41c5backed Wizards | 19c | 4,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,240 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Wizards | 18c | 3,949$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,228.63 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Hawks | 34c | 3,926$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.53 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Hawks | 25c | 3,923$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.69 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb461…76cfbacked Wizards | 19c | 3,907$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,164.76 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b3…2e90backed Hawks | 32c | 3,803$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.1 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Hawks | 29c | 3,707$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.47 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de0…7c66backed Hawks | 27c | 3,666$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 405 | 36.5%148 W · 257 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdab…47a8backed Wizards | 18c | 3,450$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,814 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 53cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Wizards | 18c | 3,432$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,801.03 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Wizards | 19c | 3,392$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,754.24 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Wizards | 18c | 3,364$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,758.12 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2c…94c5backed Hawks | 48c | 3,205$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x022b…b28cbacked Wizards | 18c | 3,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,624 | 167 | 30.5%51 W · 116 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Hawks | 13c | 3,074$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.16 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca8…c951backed Wizards | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Wizardsthis page
- Hawks vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineWizards won
- Hawks vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Wizards: O/U 235.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Wizards: O/U 236.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Wizards: O/U 237.5Over won
- Spread: Hawks (-10.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Hawks (-8.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Hawks (-9.5)Wizards won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.