NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hawks (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe07d418c471385e626cc3b773dfba5568f8e0667606a5291634fc8394af44071
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Hawks, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,826
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,641
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,826 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8445…832ebacked Wizards | 52c | 8,394$4,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,043.73 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Hawks | 48c | 8,240$3,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,955.17 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hawks | 48c | 6,350$3,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,058.16 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Wizards | 48c | 6,229$2,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,238.93 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0772…fe89backed Wizards | 52c | 4,990$2,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,395.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc898…e5b3backed Wizards | 49c | 4,400$2,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,244 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd234…90b0backed Hawks | 51c | 4,400$2,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,244 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x710a…a5d8backed Hawks | 51c | 4,100$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e5…eec3backed Hawks | 51c | 4,100$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb340…58c9backed Hawks | 51c | 4,100$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf84b…3f64backed Wizards | 49c | 4,100$2,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,091 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x845b…9041backed Wizards | 49c | 4,100$2,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,091 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5650…ce21backed Wizards | 49c | 4,100$2,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,091 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4db…309dbacked Wizards | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8367…90e9backed Hawks | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf32…e0e7backed Wizards | 52c | 3,900$2,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,873 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…f118backed Hawks | 52c | 2,876$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2c…d9c8backed Wizards | 52c | 2,731$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.77 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa817…6313backed Hawks | 48c | 2,719$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.12 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Hawks | 49c | 2,577$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.97 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed Wizards | 51c | 2,547$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.03 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hawks | 48c | 2,326$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.08 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Hawks | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…cf61backed Wizards | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked Wizards | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 369 | 43.4%160 W · 209 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Wizards | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Wizards | 50c | 862.44$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.71 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Wizards | 50c | 822$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Hawks | 50c | 818$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.11 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1377…56aebacked Hawks | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Hawks | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 271 | 61.3%166 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Wizards | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Hawks | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d3…45c3backed Wizards | 49c | 448.37$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.67 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Hawks | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc0…a988backed Wizards | 50c | 340$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Hawks | 52c | 318.79$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.77 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Hawks | 49c | 279.18$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Wizards | 50c | 250.47$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.24 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Hawks | 52c | 239$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.57 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Wizards | 49c | 237$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.87 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…8a09backed Hawks | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -8.2wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xeb51…733cbacked Hawks | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55c4…0121backed Wizards | 52c | 196.15$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.15 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…8117backed Hawks | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 204 | 44.6%91 W · 113 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…3b2ebacked Wizards | 51c | 190.16$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.18 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Wizards | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Hawks | 49c | 135.85$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.57 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Hawks | 27c | 127.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Hawks | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…cb4ebacked Hawks | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Wizards | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09e3…cf81backed Wizards | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 189 | 55%104 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04e5…b8ffbacked Hawks | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c2…1c20backed Hawks | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…a127backed Wizards | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Wizards | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 346 | 45.7%158 W · 188 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Hawks | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e84…768ebacked Hawks | 52c | 92.31$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Wizards | 48c | 87.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.76 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Wizards | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 272 | 47.8%130 W · 142 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Hawks | 52c | 69.81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Wizards | 49c | 52.26$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Wizards | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 158 | 38.6%61 W · 97 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Hawks | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19a7…3ec1backed Wizards | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e1…e083backed Hawks | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…c0d4backed Wizards | 49c | 40.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c6…5210backed Wizards | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…f0cbbacked Wizards | 50c | 39.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…8f36backed Wizards | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 114 | 71.9%82 W · 32 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…8163backed Hawks | 49c | 39.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…2332backed Hawks | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d37…59b5backed Wizards | 53c | 36.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5631…bd3abacked Wizards | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…52fbbacked Hawks | 49c | 28.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 139 | 38.8%54 W · 85 L | -14.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Hawks | 48c | 26.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x658a…3b89backed Hawks | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 83 | 68.7%57 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5256…24a5backed Hawks | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hawks (-10.5)this page
- Hawks vs. WizardsWizards won
- Hawks vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineWizards won
- Hawks vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Wizards: O/U 235.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Wizards: O/U 236.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Wizards: O/U 237.5Over won
- Spread: Hawks (-8.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Hawks (-9.5)Wizards won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.