NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Wizards: O/U 236.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f8c67909a016c9b095eee41bd2995ad913f6e8a10e887175564ef1b3960cf94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $133,631
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $141,141
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,631 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Over | 57c | 39,374$22,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,025.28 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 35,035$16,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,070.73 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 10,220$4,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,394.6 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked Under | 48c | 9,805$4,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,750 | 369 | 43.4%160 W · 209 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc933…5366backed Over | 50c | 9,482$4,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,741.1 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Over | 52c | 7,448$3,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,575.2 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1828…cca5backed Under | 50c | 7,175$3,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,587.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 44c | 7,160$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150.4 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Over | 52c | 6,666$3,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,199.68 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over | 51c | 6,516$3,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,192.86 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb5…cdb0backed Over | 52c | 5,872$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,821.92 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd041…7b26backed Over | 54c | 5,558$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,558.17 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00e1…4976backed Over | 50c | 4,910$2,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,455 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcc96…8a0bbacked Over | 51c | 4,100$2,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92db…4fabbacked Under | 49c | 4,100$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Under | 50c | 3,045$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.12 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 45c | 2,881$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.09 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0772…fe89backed Under | 48c | 2,866$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 47c | 2,752$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.49 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under | 47c | 2,364$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.12 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0323…77e4backed Over | 50c | 2,265$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…0c1bbacked Under | 46c | 2,159$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.14 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -6.6wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x719f…db30backed Over | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23bf…429abacked Under | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Over | 50c | 1,578$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 54c | 1,293$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.01 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 23c | 1,283$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.03 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Under | 47c | 1,230$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.55 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 48c | 1,018$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.1 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed Under | 49c | 1,010$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.9 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 46c | 967.57$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.19 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 46c | 856.89$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.19 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 43c | 814$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.02 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 50c | 643.8$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.79 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa763…709ebacked Over | 52c | 580$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.4 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 43c | 505.17$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.2 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 346 | 45.7%158 W · 188 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 53c | 444$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.68 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 27c | 400.3$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.84 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 49c | 326$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.64 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f7…b542backed Under | 50c | 320$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…5431backed Under | 13c | 307.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 224 | 67.9%152 W · 72 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf460…e5aabacked Over | 52c | 266.92$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.12 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ad…cc15backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Under | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55c4…0121backed Over | 52c | 198.08$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.08 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Under | 47c | 180.04$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.62 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc0…a988backed Over | 51c | 167$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.83 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…d512backed Over | 51c | 153.71$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.32 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ce…14b4backed Over | 51c | 149.02$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.02 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Over | 77c | 147.52$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.46 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 49c | 130$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.66 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6edb…6089backed Over | 50c | 102$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…e601backed Under | 50c | 99.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.87 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc39c…416dbacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 49c | 97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…ad73backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdc…60a4backed Over | 50c | 87.4$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd207…c366backed Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 49c | 81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.67 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…73bcbacked Under | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Under | 47c | 68.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 49c | 65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 49c | 65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 312 | 50.3%157 W · 155 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 49c | 65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 49c | 65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 35c | 63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 49c | 61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x462a…8b5cbacked Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 156 | 39.7%62 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Under | 49c | 49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 49c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Under | 45c | 41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 183 | 57.4%105 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb6…a2fcbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 164 | 29.9%49 W · 115 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61be…5e3cbacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…c325backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbba2…eaa6backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 49c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 49c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 49c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4e…dc93backed Over | 51c | 33.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 49c | 33.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Under | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 245 | 52.7%129 W · 116 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 237 | 53.6%127 W · 110 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Under | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Wizards: O/U 236.5this page
- Hawks vs. WizardsWizards won
- Hawks vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineWizards won
- Hawks vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Wizards: O/U 235.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Wizards: O/U 237.5Over won
- Spread: Hawks (-10.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Hawks (-8.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Hawks (-9.5)Wizards won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.