NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Wizards: O/U 237.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb46b85241e0c5fd47069817214f8e8362527f1f9533c420d9421fada20b8fe45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $512,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $519,400
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $512,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Over | 54c | 426,045$229,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196,946.98 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 47c | 120,900$57,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,423 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 44c | 90,841$40,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,344.64 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 47c | 80,694$37,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,631.99 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 49,010$22,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,628.13 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 46c | 40,760$18,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,913.2 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 47c | 24,000$11,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,180 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 20,190$9,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,388.2 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Over | 51c | 8,123$4,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,950.82 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 7,500$3,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,395 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5224…0de8backed Over | 51c | 7,281$3,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,567.62 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Under | 46c | 6,603$3,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,013.09 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under | 51c | 6,501$3,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,326.72 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 48c | 5,487$2,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,627.52 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Over | 54c | 4,500$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Over | 55c | 2,749$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.59 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.98 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 47c | 1,984$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.59 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over | 49c | 1,800$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Under | 47c | 1,718$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 47c | 1,704$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.93 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 49c | 1,645$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.11 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 1,595$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.48 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…c98abacked Under | 49c | 1,271$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 46c | 1,206$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.99 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 45c | 1,030$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.8 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Under | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.6 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Under | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Over | 59c | 847.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.58 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -14.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…ed47backed Over | 50c | 786$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 51c | 773$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.15 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 47c | 761$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.51 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 47c | 669.25$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.7 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 346 | 45.7%158 W · 188 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Over | 54c | 555$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.3 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 543.02$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.72 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Under | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c1…eb2abacked Over | 54c | 450$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 46c | 413.04$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Under | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 46c | 399.7$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.86 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked Over | 56c | 270$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7e17backed Over | 52c | 240.38$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.38 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4085…583fbacked Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f91…7c76backed Under | 52c | 196$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.92 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1be0…dc27backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 158 | 53.8%85 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…adf1backed Under | 50c | 188$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 57c | 180$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 11c | 168.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13f0…ef95backed Over | 48c | 154.17$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…1d65backed Under | 52c | 142.17$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.93 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d8…d41fbacked Under | 47c | 137.02$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Under | 50c | 126.19$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.1 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed Over | 54c | 125$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…79f9backed Over | 56c | 102.64$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.68 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a3…8248backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f1…f0e8backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 46c | 88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce2…deabbacked Under | 49c | 86.05$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -4.6wins | -0.38per pick | 47cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9176…852abacked Over | 48c | 81.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Under | 49c | 81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 183 | 57.4%105 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6c…ce09backed Under | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 128 | 65.6%84 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Under | 47c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 28c | 67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Under | 46c | 62.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Under | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46a0…f721backed Over | 56c | 44.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.66 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Under | 46c | 43.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 302 | 44%133 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdc…6d51backed Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45fb…1289backed Over | 50c | 39.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…a98bbacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…c2edbacked Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6d…a980backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 448 | 44.2%198 W · 250 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed Over | 52c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Wizards: O/U 237.5this page
- Hawks vs. WizardsWizards won
- Hawks vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineWizards won
- Hawks vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Wizards: O/U 235.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Wizards: O/U 236.5Over won
- Spread: Hawks (-10.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Hawks (-8.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Hawks (-9.5)Wizards won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.