NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Celtics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33be801f5d4b625253bc875a26384ad0be2dc9f02677fe61e155bac1d08a3209
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Pistons, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,477,066
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,587,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,477,066 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,682 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Pistons | 57c | 252,948$142,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142,956.39 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed72…b8b0backed Celtics | 45c | 173,921$78,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95,895.96 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Pistons | 60c | 166,893$99,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,520.19 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…9028backed Celtics | 43c | 135,000$57,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,149.74 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Pistons | 36c | 115,833$42,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,013.23 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Pistons | 59c | 114,510$68,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,037.78 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Celtics | 42c | 68,294$28,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,326.76 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaa…8420backed Celtics | 47c | 66,408$31,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,123.7 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Celtics | 43c | 56,154$24,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,007.82 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Celtics | 47c | 54,758$25,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,147.95 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…cc31backed Pistons | 58c | 54,620$31,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,679.6 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d56…7486backed Celtics | 43c | 54,620$23,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,133.4 | 178 | 61.2%109 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19fd…5838backed Pistons | 57c | 52,279$30,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,014.08 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Celtics | 40c | 44,762$17,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,034.77 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Celtics | 45c | 40,064$18,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,034.98 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Celtics | 42c | 40,048$16,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,227.64 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Celtics | 42c | 40,000$16,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,399.74 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Pistons | 55c | 38,566$21,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,211.39 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Celtics | 43c | 38,339$16,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,795.14 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Celtics | 40c | 36,678$14,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,861.73 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pistons | 38c | 33,314$12,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,629.1 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Celtics | 41c | 32,584$13,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,277.09 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Celtics | 44c | 30,229$13,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,813 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Celtics | 42c | 30,000$12,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,399.98 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Celtics | 45c | 29,904$13,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,447.43 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Celtics | 42c | 29,697$12,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,170.94 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Celtics | 43c | 29,089$12,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,447.13 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad34…4386backed Celtics | 47c | 28,228$13,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,994.08 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Pistons | 57c | 28,000$15,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,960 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Celtics | 42c | 26,226$11,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,124.02 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Pistons | 57c | 25,909$14,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,739.92 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Celtics | 46c | 25,761$11,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,860.96 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Pistons | 33c | 25,636$8,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,500 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Celtics | 44c | 23,140$10,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,856.86 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Pistons | 55c | 22,000$12,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,099.99 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd4…6ebcbacked Pistons | 56c | 21,665$12,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,138.05 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5922…3388backed Pistons | 57c | 21,577$12,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,367.35 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Celtics | 63c | 20,770$13,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,746.4 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Pistons | 60c | 20,021$12,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,101.78 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Celtics | 42c | 18,722$7,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,784.58 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c38…e372backed Pistons | 60c | 18,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,800 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x059e…4a2ebacked Celtics | 41c | 17,941$7,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,585.46 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Celtics | 48c | 17,912$8,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,238.2 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Pistons | 46c | 16,505$7,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,593.17 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Pistons | 57c | 16,000$9,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,059.78 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aec…1158backed Pistons | 69c | 13,301$9,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,239.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…753ebacked Celtics | 43c | 13,100$5,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,467 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x685e…6f30backed Pistons | 58c | 13,000$7,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,540 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Pistons | 59c | 12,799$7,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,551.41 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Pistons | 54c | 12,299$6,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,641.2 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x937e…1de6backed Celtics | 43c | 12,200$5,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,954 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…ee64backed Pistons | 55c | 11,656$6,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,410.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd52…0001backed Pistons | 49c | 11,395$5,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,610.45 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Pistons | 41c | 11,008$4,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,470.72 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ccd6backed Pistons | 57c | 11,000$6,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,270 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Celtics | 40c | 10,634$4,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,380.57 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Pistons | 59c | 10,503$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,200 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Pistons | 58c | 10,476$6,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,126.12 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36de…e7c7backed Pistons | 58c | 10,400$6,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,032 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Celtics | 44c | 10,390$4,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,793.21 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Celtics | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Pistons | 56c | 10,000$5,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,550 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d3…593ebacked Pistons | 58c | 9,800$5,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,725 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 55cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Celtics | 50c | 9,666$4,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,830.48 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Celtics | 77c | 9,537$7,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,162.2 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be6…2006backed Celtics | 63c | 9,512$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,511.66 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Celtics | 39c | 9,319$3,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,684.56 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…c845backed Pistons | 58c | 9,200$5,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,336 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddd…39eebacked Pistons | 53c | 8,865$4,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,709.23 | 225 | 42.2%95 W · 130 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5224…0de8backed Pistons | 59c | 8,859$5,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,191.52 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Pistons | 57c | 8,772$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Celtics | 50c | 8,658$4,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,352.17 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pistons | 55c | 8,500$4,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,675 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42cb…8412backed Celtics | 46c | 8,399$3,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,543.55 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…8cb3backed Celtics | 41c | 8,395$3,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,953.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Pistons | 55c | 8,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Pistons | 1c | 8,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6eb…dcf1backed Celtics | 41c | 8,000$3,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,719.93 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Celtics | 44c | 7,632$3,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,294.99 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…9498backed Celtics | 41c | 7,524$3,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,439.16 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Pistons | 56c | 7,500$4,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,229.97 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Pistons | 56c | 7,438$4,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,150 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Pistons | 58c | 7,417$4,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,293.64 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8178…775cbacked Pistons | 57c | 7,295$4,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,158.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Pistons | 33c | 7,121$2,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,353 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaad…e230backed Celtics | 43c | 7,095$3,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,044.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ad…be8cbacked Celtics | 42c | 7,027$2,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,075.89 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf4…8860backed Pistons | 56c | 7,000$3,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,909.99 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1252…dec2backed Pistons | 56c | 6,900$3,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,858.5 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Celtics | 44c | 6,814$3,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,788.32 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Celtics | 45c | 6,800$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,740 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb67…92cbbacked Pistons | 59c | 6,784$4,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,002.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe931…0acabacked Celtics | 42c | 6,782$2,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,933.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…f2c3backed Pistons | 56c | 6,598$3,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,695 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6b…943abacked Pistons | 60c | 6,517$3,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,910 | 154 | 61.7%95 W · 59 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Pistons | 55c | 6,510$3,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,575.65 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Pistons | 53c | 6,335$3,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,363.96 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Celtics | 49c | 6,176$3,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,152.81 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb44…e977backed Pistons | 56c | 6,072$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 69cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Celtics | 63c | 6,068$3,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,226.85 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Celticsthis page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Celtics won
- Pistons vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Celtics: O/U 228.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Celtics: O/U 229.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Celtics: O/U 230.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Celtics: O/U 231.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Celtics: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spread: Celtics (-1.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.