NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc22e550be3a697af23ed59275f8ec16e20cb55fdbd4c8345ec0a8a39a4cb2ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,005
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,049
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,005 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 39c | 1,976$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.51 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6b…943abacked Over | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.97 | 154 | 61.7%95 W · 59 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 1,379$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.42 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Over | 54c | 1,300$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1033…d851backed Over | 61c | 1,287$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.73 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 346 | 45.7%158 W · 188 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9925…e33ebacked Over | 72c | 698.19$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.49 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 44c | 647.49$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.15 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 46c | 556$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.76 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa499…7873backed Over | 54c | 556$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.76 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 44c | 434$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.96 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Under | 42c | 400.94$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.17 | 256 | 42.6%109 W · 147 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 28c | 377.51$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.27 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8476…dc8dbacked Over | 62c | 324.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.6 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Over | 62c | 324.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.19 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 319.06$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.35 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Over | 54c | 240.59$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.67 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5dd…b094backed Over | 63c | 225$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.25 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Under | 37c | 201.53$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.31 | 184 | 38.6%71 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe14b…1ad3backed Over | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 52c | 195$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88d8…d41fbacked Over | 62c | 163.77$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.23 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Over | 60c | 125$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 46c | 119$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.66 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…b1e9backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 42c | 90.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b4…e861backed Over | 51c | 88.08$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.31 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Over | 53c | 86.79$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 28c | 82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 39c | 81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Under | 38c | 78.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 342 | 46.8%160 W · 182 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 39c | 72.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Over | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…f967backed Over | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc39c…416dbacked Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc633…b4e7backed Over | 63c | 50.97$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Over | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 303 | 48.2%146 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9202…8ef9backed Over | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7227…5285backed Under | 25c | 40.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.19per pick | 36cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0b…ed1abacked Over | 50c | 36.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…8abbbacked Over | 60c | 36.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45b8…3c28backed Under | 52c | 36.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 169 | 44.4%75 W · 94 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Under | 42c | 34.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dd…9889backed Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffc5…616ebacked Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a6…f55fbacked Over | 53c | 30.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8658…41c6backed Over | 63c | 30.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aaf…749dbacked Over | 62c | 29.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 39c | 28.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92e3…c89ebacked Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 42c | 25.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6abe…2205backed Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Under | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16af…d006backed Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…88a5backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…8163backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x238c…cf58backed Over | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa242…cd4bbacked Over | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Celtics won
- Pistons vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Pistons vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Celtics: O/U 228.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Celtics: O/U 229.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Celtics: O/U 230.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Celtics: O/U 231.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Celtics: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spread: Celtics (-1.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.