NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b790bb1d1bf04ac650c4f92b5717aa273d61bbdc76168569628c21e87b7773b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Pistons, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $172,848
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $184,344
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,848 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Pistons | 48c | 58,189$27,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,732.73 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Celtics | 52c | 56,057$29,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,907.13 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Celtics | 54c | 21,820$11,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,116.07 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Pistons | 46c | 14,000$6,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,494.99 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Pistons | 45c | 13,384$5,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,992.43 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Pistons | 47c | 10,649$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Pistons | 47c | 10,640$5,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000.8 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Celtics | 55c | 7,108$3,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,215.27 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pistons | 47c | 6,154$2,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,886.62 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Celtics | 52c | 5,522$2,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,651.96 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -16.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Celtics | 53c | 5,510$2,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,589.7 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Celtics | 54c | 4,749$2,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,184.54 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Pistons | 46c | 4,500$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Celtics | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.99 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Celtics | 54c | 3,998$2,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845.73 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6b…943abacked Celtics | 54c | 3,738$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.84 | 154 | 61.7%95 W · 59 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Celtics | 56c | 3,172$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.04 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec5…a219backed Celtics | 54c | 3,084$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e2…1f0ebacked Celtics | 53c | 2,604$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Celtics | 54c | 2,600$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pistons | 47c | 2,578$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.83 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Pistons | 46c | 2,434$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.82 | 190 | 47.4%90 W · 100 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Celtics | 55c | 2,294$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.08 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…c98abacked Celtics | 54c | 2,159$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.26 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Celtics | 50c | 2,053$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.27 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…8cb3backed Celtics | 54c | 1,759$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Pistons | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Pistons | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 294 | 58.5%172 W · 122 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Pistons | 48c | 1,488$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.35 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19fd…5838backed Pistons | 46c | 1,478$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.01 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pistons | 47c | 1,340$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.66 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Pistons | 47c | 1,222$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.32 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Celtics | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.99 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Celtics | 53c | 1,072$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.84 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Celtics | 53c | 1,063$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.39 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9041…09b7backed Pistons | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x426f…e76bbacked Pistons | 46c | 822$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.12 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Pistons | 46c | 821.94$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.09 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Celtics | 53c | 718.08$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.63 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…c0d6backed Celtics | 55c | 709$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.55 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Pistons | 47c | 592.38$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.61 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Celtics | 54c | 544.44$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.44 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Pistons | 47c | 517$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.49 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Pistons | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Celtics | 53c | 470.13$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.95 | 184 | 38.6%71 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdea…6951backed Pistons | 46c | 460.57$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 204 | 34.8%71 W · 133 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Pistons | 47c | 425.92$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.88 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d61…4a1fbacked Celtics | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pistons | 47c | 359.14$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.32 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons | 46c | 320.35$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.15 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Pistons | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Pistons | 49c | 295.92$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Pistons | 45c | 271.11$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Pistons | 48c | 250.63$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.3 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Pistons | 31c | 247.37$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.21 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…9433backed Celtics | 54c | 225.93$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.93 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -13.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Pistons | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…e227backed Celtics | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Pistons | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 403 | 46.2%186 W · 217 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Celtics | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Celtics | 51c | 195.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.26 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e4…6c67backed Pistons | 48c | 191.81$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.07 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…8117backed Celtics | 68c | 191.03$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.03 | 204 | 44.6%91 W · 113 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Celtics | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55fa…c97dbacked Celtics | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed Pistons | 45c | 175$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Celtics | 54c | 166.67$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.67 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Pistons | 45c | 155.93$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.17 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e2…7b24backed Celtics | 64c | 154.13$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.78 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Celtics | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Pistons | 48c | 149.95$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…f4f4backed Celtics | 54c | 141.57$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.12 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…84c9backed Pistons | 48c | 100.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…1dc4backed Celtics | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc898…e5b3backed Celtics | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…a127backed Celtics | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e3…cf81backed Celtics | 52c | 99.95$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.98 | 189 | 55%104 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5470…f84ebacked Pistons | 50c | 91.2$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…184cbacked Pistons | 48c | 85.74$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa805…4322backed Pistons | 57c | 78.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -60%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…f4c5backed Pistons | 45c | 75.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6e…6a74backed Celtics | 52c | 74.89$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.89 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2f…f8c9backed Pistons | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Pistons | 47c | 70.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e4…b6adbacked Celtics | 58c | 67.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Pistons | 47c | 61.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Pistons | 43c | 56.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x261b…b32bbacked Celtics | 54c | 55.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c2…2f0bbacked Celtics | 53c | 54.72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.72 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x497f…da80backed Pistons | 44c | 54.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70df…bca8backed Pistons | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f5…0fcdbacked Celtics | 45c | 53.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Pistons | 45c | 51.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Pistons | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 930 | 41.9%390 W · 540 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Celtics | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…8163backed Pistons | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65d3…d153backed Celtics | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…367fbacked Celtics | 53c | 47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…52fbbacked Celtics | 52c | 44.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 139 | 38.8%54 W · 85 L | -14.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Pistons | 46c | 42.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Celtics won
- Pistons vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Pistons vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Celtics: O/U 228.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Celtics: O/U 229.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Celtics: O/U 230.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Celtics: O/U 231.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Celtics: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spread: Celtics (-1.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.