TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x55fa…c97d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
40
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 52 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST1656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$115
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+354.5%+$354.55
Kings vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+66.7%+$91.53
Lakers vs. 76ersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+94.3%+$40.93
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+78.6%+$42.82
Celtics vs. Raptorsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Raptors vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Warriors vs. Magicbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Bulls vs. Jazz: O/U 245.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Clippers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+51.5%+$51.52
Spread: Raptors (-7.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Clippers vs. Mavericksbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,112Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+75.4%+$838.79
Nuggets vs. Kings: O/U 243.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+96.1%+$34.24
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Hawks vs. Bullsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 16 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2024, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-68.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Giants vs. Falconsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Broncos vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+26.6%+$26.58
Patriots vs. Cardinalsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$10
Commanders vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$20
All 4 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$5,185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$5,185.29
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,596Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+35%+$558.87
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$558Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+83.5%+$465.95
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Canucks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+130.4%+$65.2
Blackhawks vs. Devilsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$15.05
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zohran Mamdani Parlaybacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+63.9%+$66.3
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$480.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ohio vs. Jacksonville Statebacked Jacksonville State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$19.04
Navy vs. Armybacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+81.8%+$45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+121.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+121.2%+$303.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,677Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,677.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.