TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Giants vs. Falcons

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Falconsof Giants, Falcons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$195,700
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$238,664

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,700 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa6a8…5009backed Giants27c25,668$7,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,010.6660049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a2…6af8backed Falcons73c20,000$14,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,50012570.4%88 W · 37 L+12.8wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+15.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2317…c891backed Falcons73c12,659$9,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,373.955650%28 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc64d…a1c9backed Giants22c8,076$1,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,789.96233.9%21 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Giants19c7,000$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.9332438%123 W · 201 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Falcons77c5,313$4,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,221.931848.1%153 W · 165 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Giants19c5,000$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95014837.2%55 W · 93 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cc0…f722backed Falcons80c4,192$3,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.439259.8%55 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a5e…c869backed Giants21c3,812$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.8611738.5%45 W · 72 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Giants14c3,572$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011139.6%44 W · 67 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Giants19c3,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.989645.8%44 W · 52 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cc9…fc51backed Falcons64c2,610$1,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.363871.1%27 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+28.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x52ec…5124backed Giants20c2,442$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.31513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-66.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae09…fa6dbacked Giants21c2,381$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+26.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3275…e7fcbacked Giants23c2,183$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004042.5%17 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x670d…0825backed Giants17c1,859$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.737037.1%26 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d45…b661backed Giants1c1,849$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.588218.3%15 W · 67 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick14cpaid-23.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcefa…bef8backed Falcons80c1,712$1,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.3316259.9%97 W · 65 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3703…fdadbacked Giants6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Giants17c1,558$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.439732%31 W · 66 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc618…bcc2backed Falcons80c1,482$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.32250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd398…46d7backed Giants33c1,257$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.8325643.8%112 W · 144 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Giants22c1,148$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.263842.1%16 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Giants19c998.33$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.5224738.1%94 W · 153 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf930…e346backed Giants21c952.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021454.7%117 W · 97 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Giants25c875.31$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.6922638.9%88 W · 138 L-1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Giants19c834.86$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.1419543.6%85 W · 110 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e14…8d74backed Giants20c800$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd95…99f2backed Giants19c800$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15215722.3%35 W · 122 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3651…3a98backed Falcons80c800$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+34.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1ba…3aa4backed Falcons80c700.01$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b9…e828backed Giants20c700$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadd9…f84ebacked Falcons80c689.02$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf35…b85abacked Giants20c689$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-57.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0af…a174backed Giants20c611$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e17…c36bbacked Falcons80c611$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbffe…6239backed Giants20c600.02$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+19.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc26f…7055backed Falcons75c600$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501675%12 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ef2…6153backed Falcons80c600$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-68.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Giants22c588$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.2434349.3%169 W · 174 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4385…6f1abacked Falcons80c578$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.6540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-44.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc712…ebbebacked Giants20c577.97$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.59450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-27.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2594…ea50backed Falcons80c555.01$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-68.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed0…df99backed Giants20c555$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+31.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x76df…dd48backed Falcons80c533$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-58.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbdb…69b3backed Giants20c533$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6650…d38ebacked Giants19c529.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.79946.5%46 W · 53 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Falcons79c521.6$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.5444246.8%207 W · 235 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2032…d577backed Giants19c513.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006448.4%31 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x24fe…e52cbacked Giants20c512.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Falcons64c508.52$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.8129356%164 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x96e3…83d2backed Giants20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2696…c196backed Giants20c490.02$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9830%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6eb…50e9backed Falcons80c490$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick47cpaid+42.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x179e…3496backed Falcons80c489.01$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.8450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-30.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fdb…8f3ebacked Giants20c489$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-46.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52e5…6720backed Giants20c470$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x613a…2a41backed Falcons80c469.99$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-68.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae76…dce5backed Giants19c468.01$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.3227339.2%107 W · 166 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x251b…d90dbacked Giants20c465$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69b8…0461backed Falcons80c464.97$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-58.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e09…1c3fbacked Falcons80c455$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+31.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Giants19c444$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.3620736.2%75 W · 132 L-13.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x60a5…2da4backed Giants20c410.22$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.041618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Giants4c376.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.24311.6%7 W · 424 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-82.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb26…94ddbacked Giants6c363.33$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-46.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Falcons68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963661.1%22 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7701…24e6backed Giants19c300$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5716845.8%77 W · 91 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed0e…b305backed Giants19c263.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.148921.3%19 W · 70 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f7d…4feabacked Giants38c263.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.994656.5%26 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9c9…e2ddbacked Giants20c240$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-59.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1fe…9046backed Falcons80c240$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-18.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x214d…8911backed Giants25c200.4$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508446.4%39 W · 45 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7096…e019backed Giants33c160.17$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.863240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d8a…58c1backed Giants30c153.38$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Giants14c145.47$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4714022.9%32 W · 108 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcbe1…5677backed Giants38c131.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.996553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Falcons67c131.33$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7252828.6%151 W · 377 L+1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb1c…963ebacked Giants19c107.43$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.824334.9%15 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Giants35c100.57$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.21838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94c6…2ef0backed Giants10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-41.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06a2…0acbbacked Giants19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1928433.1%94 W · 190 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid+30.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Giants19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1913051.5%67 W · 63 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Giants19c98.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8126331.6%83 W · 180 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbae4…c085backed Giants21c96.95$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7213428.4%38 W · 96 L+0.4wins0.00per pick28cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11de…50aabacked Giants21c95.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-71.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b05…48f2backed Giants21c95.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203828.9%11 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-1.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55fa…c97dbacked Giants21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-68.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Giants33c88$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.042532%8 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41f…e827backed Falcons80c84.43$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.894161%25 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bd6…4e24backed Giants20c80$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+21.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x68c7…fa37backed Falcons64c79.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.83464.7%22 W · 12 L+4.6wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+15%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Giants20c78$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5724054.6%131 W · 109 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e9…ab9fbacked Giants17c70$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.92828.6%8 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed Falcons77c66.18$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.384032.5%13 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Giants16c65.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3523850.8%121 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd629…58cbbacked Giants20c57.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fd2…0edebacked Falcons80c53.3$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.662100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+43.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20b1…ba8abacked Giants19c52.86$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2830%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xebb7…df78backed Giants20c51.32$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.