Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City vs. Manchester United end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8167715c489ac94e144597c077793cea0aa45f5b107e9c4b85307fb3cea16877
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,361
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,440
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,361 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 79c | 12,781$10,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,688.29 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Yes | 21c | 7,143$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 11c | 5,268$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.41 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 21c | 5,133$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 20c | 4,274$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.77 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…2427backed No | 79c | 3,798$2,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.05 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b8…cc82backed Yes | 79c | 3,476$2,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,748.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65fe…cef1backed Yes | 20c | 3,333$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd152…2221backed Yes | 21c | 2,884$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 24c | 2,614$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,986.64 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x09a5…b5c3backed Yes | 60c | 2,345$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Yes | 20c | 2,340$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5e…6a2cbacked No | 79c | 2,232$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…5850backed Yes | 20c | 2,171$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.28 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes | 15c | 1,778$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 34c | 1,516$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.39 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 79c | 1,494$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.67 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fe…025cbacked Yes | 21c | 1,240$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.33 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Yes | 21c | 1,212$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +379.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 26c | 1,152$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.14 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 12c | 1,115$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.76 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked No | 79c | 1,109$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.96 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf953…156cbacked Yes | 21c | 1,024$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…bb26backed No | 80c | 1,017$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc081…efeebacked Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x483e…2d6bbacked Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x159f…90ccbacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd556…d4c9backed Yes | 18c | 964.83$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -45%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc3…fce2backed No | 25c | 916.58$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.09 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9390…dca0backed Yes | 21c | 824$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.04 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed No | 78c | 800$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 17c | 710$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.7 | 119 | 15.1%18 W · 101 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x755f…2c14backed Yes | 21c | 706.71$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x487f…30babacked No | 79c | 700$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +40%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf64…7e54backed Yes | 21c | 700$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…0834backed Yes | 24c | 601$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.96 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 62c | 527.53$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.59 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -12.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 20c | 501.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6c…5c09backed No | 79c | 474.68$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.68 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 72cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa94…001abacked Yes | 20c | 410.42$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa1…637bbacked Yes | 19c | 399.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes | 22c | 355.3$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.17 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 78c | 320.61$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.53 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6d…58f6backed Yes | 78c | 300.01$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.01 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 67cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce86…f868backed Yes | 18c | 282.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6e…632fbacked No | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58d1…2056backed Yes | 21c | 215.26$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b3…6422backed Yes | 79c | 215.19$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 77cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26a1…dfc9backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 30cpaid | +182.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73b7…9360backed Yes | 58c | 200$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48e…8f7dbacked Yes | 17c | 200$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…35b1backed Yes | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes | 21c | 191.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 150 | 25.3%38 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4890…0968backed Yes | 22c | 172.77$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.01 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf97…4d34backed Yes | 25c | 171.54$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0327…1390backed Yes | 21c | 167.01$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 21c | 161$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 75c | 161$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.11 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 16.9%12 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…c8eebacked Yes | 14c | 150$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +301.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…7db5backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -7.7wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc9…7361backed Yes | 23c | 109.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Yes | 29c | 104.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…2b10backed Yes | 20c | 100.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…49e5backed Yes | 22c | 100.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa805…8d5fbacked No | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +242.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe973…7005backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 79c | 99.37$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.87 | 129 | 65.1%84 W · 45 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…3ae2backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55fa…c97dbacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f9…0094backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…2bd2backed Yes | 79c | 88.61$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed No | 80c | 86.02$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…e349backed Yes | 22c | 79.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed51…9147backed Yes | 21c | 75.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa66b…0e7cbacked No | 79c | 75.04$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7530…311bbacked No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 30cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd69a…81eabacked Yes | 18c | 60.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 28c | 59.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.52 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…de7bbacked Yes | 22c | 59.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 79c | 51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed No | 79c | 51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61ea…d0c1backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -53%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06be…8a46backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -42%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 30cpaid | +122.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0a…81eabacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…5512backed Yes | 21c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee92…f444backed Yes | 22c | 47.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55c6…c338backed Yes | 78c | 47.28$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…1e29backed Yes | 22c | 45.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…37eabacked Yes | 41c | 41.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.6wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x93c6…d9dbbacked Yes | 27c | 39.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City vs. Manchester United end in a draw?this page
- Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-15?No won
- Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.