Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfafebf74590538c2a145609240bbba810d491b742cb02a816b38ef5f6c9eec1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $270,393
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $286,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $270,393 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 479 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 37c | 102,468$38,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,461.63 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Yes | 64c | 50,111$32,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,071.11 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 65c | 37,392$24,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,284.46 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x834e…8015backed No | 22c | 15,385$3,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,012.93 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +6.4wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x94e4…2943backed Yes | 64c | 10,934$6,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,998.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…2427backed No | 38c | 10,184$3,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,341.28 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd889…cf51backed Yes | 65c | 6,663$4,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,326.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked No | 36c | 4,701$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,008.46 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 64c | 4,398$2,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,814.79 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 47c | 3,897$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,060.95 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Yes | 62c | 3,820$2,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,383.54 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 67c | 3,675$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450.2 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 62c | 3,544$2,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,187.45 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed No | 49c | 3,209$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.17 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 38c | 3,021$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,871.91 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Yes | 56c | 3,005$1,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,682.8 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Yes | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…fc51backed Yes | 60c | 2,853$1,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702.86 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd3…9d22backed Yes | 62c | 2,769$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes | 65c | 2,769$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.6 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -14.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Yes | 78c | 2,583$2,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,008.39 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Yes | 76c | 1,856$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.33 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…7654backed Yes | 56c | 1,764$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes | 62c | 1,614$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.64 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked No | 38c | 1,600$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.96 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 59c | 1,457$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.91 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed No | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.35 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Yes | 7c | 1,263$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 90 | 27.8%25 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed No | 39c | 1,231$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.49 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 62c | 1,106$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.72 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked No | 39c | 1,100$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.31 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a0…f57dbacked Yes | 63c | 1,068$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.23 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 62c | 1,039$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78f1…42a4backed Yes | 74c | 1,001$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0583…054dbacked Yes | 61c | 999.58$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…fe58backed Yes | 61c | 978.1$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.64 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -4.3wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…2b10backed Yes | 63c | 951.68$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Yes | 51c | 937.74$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.31 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +379.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 35c | 930.16$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.6 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 29c | 853.5$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.2 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Yes | 69c | 827.92$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.7 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffc…19adbacked Yes | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 68cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd152…2221backed No | 37c | 817.46$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 10c | 759.97$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x97f2…a87fbacked Yes | 62c | 730$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…9657backed No | 37c | 677$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.51 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88d…291abacked Yes | 65c | 673.95$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.07 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…c128backed No | 29c | 652.35$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.59 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 57c | 625.98$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.81 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6d…f360backed No | 24c | 613.38$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.15 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26a1…dfc9backed Yes | 19c | 609.28$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.86 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 30cpaid | +182.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked No | 37c | 600$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9542…4295backed No | 49c | 550$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.13 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa768…0ad1backed Yes | 64c | 536.64$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd556…d4c9backed Yes | 72c | 520$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -45%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…32d0backed No | 38c | 499.98$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.99 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +10.6wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x65fe…cef1backed Yes | 69c | 492.86$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 64c | 491.99$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.88 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8d…6bdfbacked Yes | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf66d…f36fbacked Yes | 60c | 485.49$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.38 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.23per pick | 47cpaid | -51%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe286…7735backed Yes | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…269bbacked Yes | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 37c | 432$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.28 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed No | 46c | 417.5$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.5 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed No | 37c | 395.23$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.16 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x620e…0775backed Yes | 76c | 394.88$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 37c | 387.96$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.08 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…3312backed Yes | 64c | 357.95$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.09 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 59cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4707…7e5bbacked Yes | 48c | 343.08$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 75c | 335.5$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -12.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc0…4da8backed Yes | 61c | 325.56$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b2…841cbacked No | 48c | 320$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked No | 25c | 309.47$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.1 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe591…d8a5backed Yes | 58c | 302.74$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.59 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed No | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 64c | 282.81$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x722c…515fbacked No | 37c | 279.73$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.23 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 64c | 250$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…9cd8backed No | 41c | 245.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.1 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Yes | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 61c | 230.33$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ca…09a4backed Yes | 62c | 225.81$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -4.9wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7f93…ddbfbacked Yes | 35c | 215.18$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…3953backed Yes | 64c | 205.28$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed No | 39c | 200$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16e…5220backed Yes | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x193c…5b89backed No | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…ee60backed Yes | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -5.9wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Yes | 63c | 200$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.33 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fe…025cbacked Yes | 77c | 193.19$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.76 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed No | 46c | 190$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacdc…9461backed Yes | 64c | 187.5$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…2bd2backed No | 41c | 170.73$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.73 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…d18cbacked Yes | 57c | 167.7$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…0050backed Yes | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb737…f72ebacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa5…2f7dbacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked No | 37c | 160.93$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.39 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0402…51d9backed Yes | 63c | 157.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-15?this page
- Will Manchester City vs. Manchester United end in a draw?No won
- Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.