Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda6393faea28fe349192278ce55a40400840c5820ac4a272cd5a737754cbcdde
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $158,480
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $189,536
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,480 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9542…4295backed Yes | 15c | 11,521$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,793.05 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52e4…1b25backed Yes | 19c | 8,038$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,506.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 53c | 5,351$2,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,810.64 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 79c | 4,752$3,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,763.24 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 80c | 3,298$2,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,628.65 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 19c | 3,193$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,572.05 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes | 19c | 3,095$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,495.24 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 15c | 2,618$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,217.54 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed Yes | 18c | 2,368$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.85 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f8…6748backed Yes | 20c | 2,315$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,842.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…32d0backed Yes | 18c | 2,247$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.12 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +10.6wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Yes | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b2…841cbacked No | 8c | 1,925$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.38 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ce…6d96backed Yes | 20c | 1,666$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.08 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1875…eb5ebacked Yes | 19c | 1,607$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.39 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf87…69b2backed Yes | 16c | 1,526$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.05 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd556…d4c9backed Yes | 45c | 1,262$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -45%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 15c | 1,253$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.05 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 16c | 1,244$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.65 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…d9e5backed Yes | 19c | 1,217$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.39 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 20c | 1,135$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.44 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…8efbbacked Yes | 19c | 1,101$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.11 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 18c | 1,082$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.34 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes | 8c | 1,035$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.2 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +379.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked Yes | 13c | 1,000$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb680…c893backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Yes | 18c | 980.58$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.58 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5efc…9b2abacked Yes | 21c | 971.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.11 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 11c | 961.06$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.04 | 71 | 16.9%12 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e3…83d2backed Yes | 19c | 842.11$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.11 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…c8eebacked Yes | 2c | 674.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.89 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +301.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f47…0043backed Yes | 17c | 592.29$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.6 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b75…787ebacked Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b00…e6edbacked Yes | 18c | 560$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +462.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.56 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 18c | 542.84$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.13 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1521…cab4backed Yes | 19c | 525$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x990b…c30ebacked Yes | 18c | 513.36$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd38…09a8backed Yes | 8c | 500$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 10cpaid | +323.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0be6…3b7fbacked Yes | 18c | 490.72$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.39 | 111 | 39.6%44 W · 67 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4aa…d7c8backed Yes | 21c | 482.43$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.12 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 32cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 11c | 423.5$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.84 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f4…1c68backed Yes | 71c | 373.76$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Yes | 9c | 372.02$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.54 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45cf…d389backed Yes | 8c | 365.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +176.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd5…a3ccbacked Yes | 18c | 347.72$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.13 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 17c | 336.33$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.33 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 18c | 301.41$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.11 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc7…e3efbacked Yes | 46c | 285.34$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.34 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Yes | 16c | 281.02$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.06 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…c128backed Yes | 9c | 255.56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.56 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bc…8c15backed No | 80c | 238.75$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…96b7backed Yes | 21c | 238.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a2…bb98backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +415.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe12e…c40bbacked Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Yes | 19c | 221.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.81 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 59c | 201.37$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.13 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 72cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…2a8dbacked Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 19c | 184.21$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.21 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -12.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e30…ef89backed No | 80c | 180.36$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.29 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f0…90f4backed Yes | 20c | 178.67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.07 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 18c | 174.68$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.24 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6e…4644backed Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…70f0backed Yes | 80c | 160.56$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5a…0fb8backed Yes | 9c | 152$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +982.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x834e…8015backed Yes | 23c | 150$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +6.4wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.58 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa40e…53ddbacked Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.58 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.58 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…b909backed Yes | 18c | 126.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.59 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…d18cbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1577…3612backed Yes | 21c | 120.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…b756backed Yes | 17c | 116.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.69 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa382…b743backed Yes | 19c | 114.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…375abacked Yes | 18c | 110$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.2 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…a021backed Yes | 15c | 103.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.56 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a15…eac3backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e0…1c6ebacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…711bbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…94e7backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…b3b7backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…3628backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79eb…9df6backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26a1…dfc9backed Yes | 12c | 84.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 30cpaid | +182.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…e349backed Yes | 21c | 83.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.83 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97eb…b91cbacked Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 44cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 21c | 81.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.33 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…4f82backed Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.95 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed1f…3462backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6e…9d3dbacked Yes | 17c | 71.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93c6…d9dbbacked Yes | 17c | 70$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.9 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x847f…08a5backed Yes | 18c | 70$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x808f…87b2backed Yes | 19c | 66.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…07f5backed Yes | 19c | 62.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.31 | 109 | 32.1%35 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 17c | 62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.46 | 119 | 15.1%18 W · 101 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c17…9b2dbacked Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +118%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-15?this page
- Will Manchester City vs. Manchester United end in a draw?No won
- Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.