NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x140af82a9a1551a730f7ac048620095be3973aa481a5d2d96e2ec1004d944516
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Pistons, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,248
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,453
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,248 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Pistons | 53c | 46,908$24,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,781.25 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Celtics | 48c | 31,906$15,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,591.07 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Celtics | 49c | 26,959$13,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,865.34 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Celtics | 49c | 10,200$4,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,201.98 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e1…4976backed Pistons | 51c | 8,415$4,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,291.44 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc898…e5b3backed Pistons | 51c | 8,200$4,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,182 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5650…ce21backed Celtics | 49c | 8,200$4,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,182 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb98…0d41backed Pistons | 51c | 6,157$3,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,140 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58d7…7cf1backed Celtics | 49c | 4,663$2,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,378.09 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Celtics | 52c | 4,043$2,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,956.17 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pistons | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…583ebacked Celtics | 49c | 3,752$1,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,913.35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Pistons | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Celtics | 48c | 2,644$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.45 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Celtics | 48c | 2,165$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.11 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d8…1552backed Pistons | 51c | 1,941$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pistons | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…c55ebacked Pistons | 49c | 1,838$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons | 47c | 1,540$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.26 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Pistons | 53c | 1,508$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Celtics | 49c | 1,265$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.17 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Celtics | 48c | 1,053$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.64 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Pistons | 49c | 1,029$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.2 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Pistons | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b2…6d9dbacked Pistons | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Pistons | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 271 | 58.3%158 W · 113 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Pistons | 49c | 934.78$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.04 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Celtics | 50c | 811.32$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.66 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Pistons | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Celtics | 50c | 764.55$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.35 | 184 | 38.6%71 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Pistons | 52c | 719.24$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pistons | 52c | 690$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.8 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf642…0c19backed Pistons | 51c | 668.63$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Celtics | 49c | 611.97$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.1 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…6f34backed Pistons | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pistons | 47c | 580$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.58 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pistons | 52c | 540.01$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.81 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Pistons | 48c | 490$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.82 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Pistons | 38c | 487.53$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.11 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Pistons | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Pistons | 48c | 400$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1377…56aebacked Pistons | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed Celtics | 49c | 399.99$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked Pistons | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Celtics | 55c | 295.29$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.88 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91f3…0d57backed Pistons | 52c | 270.19$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.5 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e84…768ebacked Pistons | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Pistons | 52c | 238$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.76 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Celtics | 49c | 213.68$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.05 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Celtics | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Celtics | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4734…4ed5backed Pistons | 52c | 192.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Pistons | 54c | 184.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e08…3d14backed Pistons | 49c | 167.39$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.02 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Celtics | 47c | 155.46$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.46 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Pistons | 52c | 154.72$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.45 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…d512backed Pistons | 51c | 134.02$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.35 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Pistons | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48f8…9166backed Pistons | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 171 | 45.6%78 W · 93 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…bbabbacked Pistons | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 328 | 53%174 W · 154 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655d…b758backed Celtics | 51c | 100.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 244 | 46.7%114 W · 130 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Pistons | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Pistons | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…e601backed Pistons | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…84c9backed Pistons | 52c | 99.6$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.79 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Pistons | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x658d…859fbacked Pistons | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…0a5cbacked Pistons | 54c | 92.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.71 | 368 | 42.4%156 W · 212 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Pistons | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 253 | 51%129 W · 124 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Pistons | 50c | 76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.37 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Pistons | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Pistons | 51c | 60.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…4970backed Pistons | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Pistons | 51c | 52.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Pistons | 52c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b8…3c28backed Pistons | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 44.4%75 W · 94 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…9b0abacked Pistons | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Pistons | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 158 | 38.6%61 W · 97 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Pistons | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Pistons | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x084c…a811backed Pistons | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Pistons | 52c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 280 | 58.2%163 W · 117 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a5…5e47backed Pistons | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3698…7160backed Celtics | 51c | 31.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Pistons | 52c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa26…c10abacked Pistons | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d23…b5a2backed Pistons | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…8c81backed Celtics | 52c | 28.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Celtics | 47c | 25.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…ae84backed Pistons | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Celtics | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Celtics won
- Pistons vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Pistons vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Celtics: O/U 228.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Celtics: O/U 229.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Celtics: O/U 230.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Celtics: O/U 231.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Celtics: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spread: Celtics (-1.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.