College Football · resolved market
Fresno State vs. San Jose State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa049e24ea03705e4fc417772a330befd72c31969bfd89d1adf09d5433affdf1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fresno Stateof Fresno State, San Jose State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $173,640
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $175,426
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,640 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Fresno State | 64c | 39,075$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,074.76 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked San Jose State | 35c | 36,429$12,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,832.41 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Fresno State | 61c | 26,053$15,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,160.79 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed San Jose State | 37c | 14,152$5,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,236.14 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked San Jose State | 16c | 6,602$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.12 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Fresno State | 61c | 5,740$3,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,259.66 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…89b9backed San Jose State | 43c | 4,587$1,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950.58 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Fresno State | 60c | 4,500$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed San Jose State | 39c | 4,448$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.71 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed San Jose State | 3c | 4,320$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.4 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Jose State | 24c | 4,130$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.05 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed San Jose State | 0c | 3,800$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Jose State | 3c | 3,771$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.26 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked San Jose State | 38c | 3,690$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.31 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked San Jose State | 37c | 3,533$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked San Jose State | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.99 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed San Jose State | 4c | 2,896$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.3 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Fresno State | 57c | 2,607$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.43 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed San Jose State | 14c | 2,250$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.84 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed San Jose State | 37c | 1,989$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.72 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed San Jose State | 38c | 1,800$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.52 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked San Jose State | 35c | 1,650$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.35 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed San Jose State | 39c | 1,616$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.07 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Fresno State | 64c | 1,582$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.9 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Jose State | 31c | 1,531$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.98 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed San Jose State | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked San Jose State | 34c | 1,376$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.78 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed San Jose State | 35c | 1,300$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.85 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked San Jose State | 39c | 1,076$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.64 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Fresno State | 61c | 983.61$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.61 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa805…83dcbacked San Jose State | 3c | 908.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 102 | 20.6%21 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked San Jose State | 37c | 855.56$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.56 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Fresno State | 66c | 735.04$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.38 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked San Jose State | 43c | 615.84$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.31 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…63d6backed San Jose State | 8c | 603.72$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked San Jose State | 5c | 506.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed San Jose State | 37c | 499.96$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.99 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda53…9209backed San Jose State | 27c | 492.05$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.47 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…4eedbacked San Jose State | 7c | 458.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed San Jose State | 38c | 442.47$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Fresno State | 77c | 438$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.74 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Fresno State | 62c | 424.97$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.49 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed San Jose State | 17c | 407.41$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.53 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01db…16e3backed Fresno State | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed San Jose State | 30c | 396.66$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.72 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked San Jose State | 40c | 340$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed San Jose State | 37c | 337.96$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.51 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked San Jose State | 39c | 313.9$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.42 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40de…450abacked Fresno State | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked San Jose State | 34c | 270.18$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.86 | 134 | 17.2%23 W · 111 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed San Jose State | 40c | 267.5$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 213 | 48.8%104 W · 109 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Fresno State | 62c | 240.3$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.3 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed San Jose State | 6c | 237.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed San Jose State | 38c | 213.71$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.21 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed San Jose State | 37c | 206.41$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.37 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac7f…361fbacked San Jose State | 10c | 204.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Fresno State | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed San Jose State | 38c | 184.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.71 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed Fresno State | 60c | 175$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Fresno State | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b8…1df6backed Fresno State | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed San Jose State | 17c | 153.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9da3…a7efbacked Fresno State | 63c | 150.78$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.79 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4085…583fbacked San Jose State | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed San Jose State | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb15e…5111backed Fresno State | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked San Jose State | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed San Jose State | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed San Jose State | 39c | 96.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.12 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x686a…c769backed Fresno State | 62c | 96.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.26 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Fresno State | 57c | 92.8$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8823…37ccbacked Fresno State | 79c | 82.64$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked San Jose State | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6563…6588backed San Jose State | 39c | 71.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…74c9backed Fresno State | 71c | 62.03$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed San Jose State | 30c | 54.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaef2…f6a5backed San Jose State | 38c | 52.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41d8…e86abacked San Jose State | 38c | 50.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked San Jose State | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafbd…432dbacked Fresno State | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…300cbacked Fresno State | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d23…b55bbacked Fresno State | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a19…5216backed San Jose State | 39c | 47.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…0bbfbacked Fresno State | 62c | 46.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc471…6159backed Fresno State | 62c | 45.05$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7af…25c5backed Fresno State | 62c | 43.58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x763d…3f09backed San Jose State | 39c | 43.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c98…45b4backed Fresno State | 62c | 42.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…7e89backed Fresno State | 63c | 42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc1…a9a2backed Fresno State | 62c | 40.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e15…0b34backed Fresno State | 62c | 40.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed San Jose State | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e69…d646backed Fresno State | 62c | 38.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe212…00c3backed San Jose State | 39c | 37.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66bb…0e9cbacked Fresno State | 63c | 37.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…6ea7backed San Jose State | 39c | 37.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b65…c8b9backed Fresno State | 63c | 36.78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee0…4d23backed Fresno State | 63c | 36.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3b…b530backed San Jose State | 39c | 35.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c04abacked San Jose State | 39c | 33.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fresno State vs. San Jose Statethis page
- Fresno State vs. San Jose State: O/U 46.5Over won
- Fresno State vs. San Jose State: O/U 47.5Over won
- Spread: Fresno State (-2.5)Fresno State won
- Spread: Fresno State (-3.5)Fresno State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.