TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Jazz

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jazzof Kings, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$668,451
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$705,922

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $668,451 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 690 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x94d7…bef5backed Kings18c54,416$9,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,90025925.9%67 W · 192 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Jazz57c43,719$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,719.3834062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Jazz74c28,883$21,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,610.435,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Jazz68c25,893$17,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,224.324,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca36…1e9cbacked Kings44c25,000$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,00030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Jazz55c24,790$13,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,155.6338248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Jazz77c20,577$15,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,810.571,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Jazz51c19,999$10,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,799.411,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Kings44c18,527$8,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,143.283,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe33d…cc53backed Kings41c17,438$7,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,163.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd041…7b26backed Kings32c17,095$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,5001656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+59.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked Kings44c16,419$7,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,224.3611558.3%67 W · 48 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Kings47c10,469$4,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,913.911,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Kings1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb78…5206backed Kings26c9,545$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5002733.3%9 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bda…4282backed Jazz77c9,522$7,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,168.7515950.3%80 W · 79 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Kings44c9,270$4,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,079.5389050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Jazz55c8,568$4,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,837.2844459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Jazz75c8,483$6,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,130.91,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed Jazz51c7,386$3,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,619.2313455.2%74 W · 60 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Jazz55c7,242$3,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,281.592,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Kings45c7,239$3,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,25012341.5%51 W · 72 L-8.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Jazz56c7,117$3,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,131.5737557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Jazz56c6,539$3,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,877.251,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9615…60ddbacked Jazz55c6,020$3,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,708.7914853.4%79 W · 69 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Kings47c5,690$2,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,674.1619958.3%116 W · 83 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ce2…e868backed Kings44c5,399$2,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,375.765850%29 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e11…82a9backed Kings39c5,323$2,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,081.33837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd71a…9498backed Kings48c5,308$2,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,547.7914549%71 W · 74 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Jazz71c5,192$3,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,505.6222457.1%128 W · 96 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Jazz73c5,121$3,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,369.931,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x089b…2193backed Kings11c5,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55027731.4%87 W · 190 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd52…0001backed Kings44c5,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2001662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Kings43c5,000$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,149.9766250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Kings7c4,884$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.791,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1013…87d5backed Jazz77c4,748$3,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.568863.6%56 W · 32 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x42cb…8412backed Jazz74c4,619$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,218.927259.7%43 W · 29 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed Kings43c4,584$1,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,968.3419136.1%69 W · 122 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Kings44c4,496$1,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,978.274,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ab…ded1backed Jazz53c4,151$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,950.947745.5%35 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc25d…9411backed Jazz56c4,100$2,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,803.98862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Jazz57c4,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,72047748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Kings48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92036248.9%177 W · 185 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1af5…d29cbacked Kings48c3,887$1,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,865.85366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Jazz56c3,845$2,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,691.5872241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jazz56c3,771$2,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.829,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f1a…4f81backed Jazz52c3,761$1,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,805.39771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+40.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf45d…8db7backed Kings49c3,761$1,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,843540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-30.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Kings48c3,658$1,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,764.7724847.6%118 W · 130 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Kings43c3,600$1,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,550.9561835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Jazz52c3,500$1,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.9835547.3%168 W · 187 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Jazz54c3,405$1,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,575.862,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Kings48c3,272$1,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,570.5426544.9%119 W · 146 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Kings45c3,236$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,459.7755346.8%259 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Kings48c3,135$1,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,504.892753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe427…4c44backed Kings49c3,061$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5008951.7%46 W · 43 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jazz62c3,008$1,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.038,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Jazz58c3,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,26043051.4%221 W · 209 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Kings35c2,867$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007353.4%39 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kings45c2,730$1,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,220.865,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x660d…2e08backed Jazz52c2,701$1,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,296.564850%24 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4d3…c5afbacked Kings49c2,551$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2505347.2%25 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0425…9b90backed Kings49c2,551$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2502958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+16.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Kings19c2,505$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.4881529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Jazz66c2,428$1,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.5626038.1%99 W · 161 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3657…6cd3backed Kings47c2,398$1,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,127.179256.5%52 W · 40 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c92…b9c9backed Jazz53c2,358$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,108.492759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4acb…87babacked Jazz53c2,358$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,108.492458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Kings32c2,291$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72527041.5%112 W · 158 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Kings47c2,113$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.6843453.2%231 W · 203 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec0…f7aabacked Jazz52c2,109$1,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.4714254.9%78 W · 64 L+9.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Kings43c2,055$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.831,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Kings28c2,043$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.11,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8526…3b5dbacked Kings45c2,000$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8906636.4%24 W · 42 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaecb…fababacked Kings6c2,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick14cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22e6…409fbacked Kings42c1,895$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.2519441.2%80 W · 114 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5cf…511dbacked Kings44c1,850$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Jazz56c1,825$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.941,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa815…f40dbacked Kings46c1,815$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.166245.2%28 W · 34 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x702d…a37fbacked Kings44c1,750$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1c8…1790backed Kings10c1,702$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1772913.8%4 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-67.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Kings48c1,670$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.9834855.2%192 W · 156 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Kings46c1,572$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72325554.1%138 W · 117 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed Jazz70c1,548$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.784656.5%26 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Kings48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72031347%147 W · 166 L-14.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Jazz62c1,500$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57022243.7%97 W · 125 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7879…4345backed Kings44c1,457$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.146750.7%34 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44dc…0d66backed Kings48c1,450$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Kings21c1,404$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.3270153.5%375 W · 326 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78fe…1ed0backed Jazz52c1,380$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Kings44c1,364$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60016442.1%69 W · 95 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Kings49c1,359$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.1141954.4%228 W · 191 L+1.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3458…b5a7backed Jazz74c1,351$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.3535362.6%221 W · 132 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5a…be4bbacked Jazz52c1,340$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Jazz56c1,309$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.9368542.6%292 W · 393 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x166c…b2b1backed Kings49c1,270$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec8b…152bbacked Kings44c1,229$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.7115945.9%73 W · 86 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Kings44c1,210$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.192,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfa3…bce6backed Kings43c1,163$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa188…3fccbacked Kings36c1,138$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.4936356.5%205 W · 158 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.