TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Jazz (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Jazzof Jazz, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$190,514
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$190,518

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,514 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9165…5b98backed Jazz52c142,676$74,191 inWon+$68,484.4425248.4%122 W · 130 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Kings48c111,119$53,337 inLost-$53,337.1272648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x71a7…6fcfbacked Jazz51c41,032$20,912 inWon+$20,119.742100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Kings49c34,569$16,834 inLost-$16,834.182,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kings48c10,050$4,824 inLost-$4,8245,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kings48c9,455$4,582 inLost-$4,582.259,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Kings49c9,371$4,554 inLost-$4,553.981,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Kings49c5,102$2,500 inLost-$2,5001,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Jazz52c4,000$2,080 inWon+$1,92047748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kings48c3,903$1,873 inLost-$1,873.442,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Kings48c1,458$700 inLost-$699.841,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Kings50c1,200$600 inLost-$6002,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7634…1b96backed Jazz51c1,104$563 inWon+$540.9524051.3%123 W · 117 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Kings48c1,045$506 inLost-$506.252,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Kings48c510$247 inLost-$246.636,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Kings49c500$245 inLost-$24585147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Kings54c320.86$173 inLost-$173.2732450%162 W · 162 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09f0…1e82backed Jazz53c250$133 inWon+$117.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…129ebacked Jazz53c226.42$120 inWon+$106.422650%13 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Kings49c200$98 inLost-$981,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kings41c185$76 inLost-$76.48,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Kings47c168$79 inLost-$78.9635447.7%169 W · 185 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50bb…9aa6backed Jazz52c150$78 inWon+$7211951.3%61 W · 58 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Jazz50c122$61 inWon+$61.322,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08b5…5a6ebacked Kings49c111.3$55 inLost-$5512048.3%58 W · 62 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x655d…b758backed Kings50c110$55 inLost-$5524446.7%114 W · 130 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a8a…b155backed Kings50c100$50 inLost-$5011652.6%61 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x897d…90c9backed Kings50c80$40 inLost-$4016559.4%98 W · 67 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd6f…e887backed Jazz47c50$23 inWon+$26.58351.8%43 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19a7…3ec1backed Kings51c39.98$20 inLost-$20.399348.4%45 W · 48 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc07d…5bd8backed Kings38c38.5$15 inLost-$14.6318554.1%100 W · 85 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1365…97dfbacked Kings53c32.08$17 inLost-$1716253.1%86 W · 76 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Jazz49c26$13 inWon+$13.263,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed Kings49c22$11 inLost-$10.7818357.4%105 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x40a6…a17ebacked Jazz50c20$10 inWon+$1012148.8%59 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97f1…c325backed Jazz50c20$10 inWon+$108149.4%40 W · 41 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.