NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ddf3ff513d6dccab52528af5f895e84648edd06baaec68746ab84ef927b1de8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Heat, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,774,927
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,810,153
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,774,927 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,987 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde5d…f58bbacked Heat | 35c | 82,481$28,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,871.62 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Magic | 64c | 57,203$36,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,702.88 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Heat | 31c | 50,000$15,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,500 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Magic | 69c | 43,221$29,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,405.56 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Magic | 67c | 39,552$26,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,052.24 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6eb…dcf1backed Magic | 65c | 34,000$22,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,899.99 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Heat | 36c | 32,112$11,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,549.31 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Heat | 35c | 30,000$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,500 | 180 | 45%81 W · 99 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Heat | 34c | 30,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8262…2ea2backed Heat | 35c | 30,000$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,499.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Heat | 33c | 30,000$9,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,899.99 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf963…0637backed Magic | 66c | 29,300$19,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,014.75 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Magic | 67c | 28,171$18,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,260 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Heat | 33c | 27,485$9,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,016.73 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Magic | 73c | 27,454$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,454.09 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Magic | 65c | 25,003$16,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,801.02 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda8…2fd6backed Heat | 35c | 24,000$8,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,400 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…0a92backed Magic | 68c | 20,665$14,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,612.95 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Magic | 70c | 20,007$14,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,982.11 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Heat | 34c | 20,000$6,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,799.98 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4a…87d4backed Magic | 66c | 20,000$13,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,799.96 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe756…e006backed Heat | 37c | 19,728$7,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,261.42 | 328 | 27.4%90 W · 238 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb322…2179backed Heat | 36c | 19,297$6,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,947 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 65c | 18,570$12,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,440.59 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Magic | 62c | 18,479$11,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,086.49 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x188f…c19dbacked Heat | 34c | 17,059$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Magic | 66c | 15,838$10,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,372.11 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Heat | 28c | 15,310$4,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,334.79 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Heat | 33c | 15,000$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,949.99 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c38…e372backed Magic | 65c | 13,988$9,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,895.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Heat | 47c | 12,865$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Heat | 35c | 12,551$4,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,333.98 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 67c | 12,256$8,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,096.98 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Heat | 33c | 12,000$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,960 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Heat | 1c | 12,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Magic | 65c | 11,161$7,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,943.59 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Magic | 70c | 10,726$7,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,227.09 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Magic | 67c | 10,703$7,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,531.83 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Magic | 66c | 10,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Magic | 79c | 9,610$7,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,008.86 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Heat | 36c | 9,314$3,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,336.52 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x456d…1fe1backed Heat | 5c | 8,520$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc448…5928backed Heat | 36c | 8,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Heat | 23c | 7,838$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,765.59 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03d7…11debacked Magic | 66c | 7,600$5,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,583.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Magic | 66c | 7,215$4,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,441.85 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Magic | 65c | 7,051$4,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,474.96 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Magic | 57c | 6,500$3,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,795 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Heat | 35c | 6,500$2,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,274.9 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb06b…42fcbacked Magic | 66c | 6,000$3,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…efecbacked Magic | 67c | 6,000$4,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Magic | 62c | 6,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Heat | 36c | 5,871$2,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,103.7 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b96…cdd5backed Magic | 65c | 5,200$3,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Heat | 38c | 5,179$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,967.95 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Magic | 68c | 5,154$3,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.53 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Heat | 21c | 5,119$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.33 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Heat | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Magic | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Heat | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Magic | 66c | 5,000$3,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,724.99 | 309 | 47.6%147 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Magic | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.99 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Magic | 71c | 4,973$3,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.58 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…4998backed Magic | 65c | 4,560$2,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Heat | 33c | 4,552$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.61 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d8…bf8cbacked Heat | 34c | 4,547$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Magic | 67c | 4,444$2,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.81 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Heat | 30c | 4,444$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.41 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Magic | 65c | 4,365$2,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.39 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Heat | 35c | 4,150$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Magic | 66c | 4,135$2,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.73 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc6…a3bcbacked Heat | 44c | 4,003$1,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,761.31 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Heat | 32c | 3,989$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.45 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ee…9c7fbacked Heat | 39c | 3,826$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Heat | 33c | 3,769$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.89 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Heat | 34c | 3,693$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.2 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Heat | 33c | 3,576$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.35 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…3d48backed Magic | 69c | 3,421$2,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.92 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Magic | 67c | 3,392$2,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.19 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Magic | 68c | 3,278$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.49 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ee…eac9backed Heat | 60c | 3,202$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Magic | 59c | 3,146$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.35 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Heat | 32c | 3,098$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b45…41e3backed Magic | 65c | 3,018$1,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.22 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Magic | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Heat | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fc…dd38backed Heat | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed Magic | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.85 | 165 | 40%66 W · 99 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x901c…3cfebacked Heat | 36c | 2,988$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.69 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d9…a6e1backed Magic | 68c | 2,960$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.85 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…8a09backed Magic | 65c | 2,900$1,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -8.2wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Magic | 60c | 2,898$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.21 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Heat | 32c | 2,842$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.46 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Magic | 64c | 2,818$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.97 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab18…d7fabacked Magic | 65c | 2,800$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Magic | 62c | 2,633$1,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.96 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Magic | 76c | 2,584$1,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.41 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Magic | 69c | 2,506$1,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.86 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…749ebacked Heat | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Magic | 68c | 2,499$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.41 | 222 | 47.3%105 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heat vs. Magicthis page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-3.5)Heat won
- Heat vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Heat vs. Magic: 1H O/U 125.5Under won
- Heat vs. Magic: O/U 240.5Under won
- Heat vs. Magic: O/U 241.5Under won
- Heat vs. Magic: O/U 242.5Under won
- Spread: Magic (-5.5)Heat won
- Spread: Magic (-6.5)Heat won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.