Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Utrecht vs. FC Twente '65 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa622f92321b93d24ea9813e4031f9adaead6713c10ff43b03347e177aab09e07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,030
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,688
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,030 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 28c | 3,163$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.55 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 29c | 1,810$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.34 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 69c | 1,726$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.3 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 1,115$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.77 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 53c | 438.18$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.8 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a3…4b31backed Yes | 28c | 399.98$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 37c | 353.16$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.42 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 65c | 293.13$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.38 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 42c | 240.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.33 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 53c | 238.89$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.29 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9d…35f8backed Yes | 28c | 232.14$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.14 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 25c | 160.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.61 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 69c | 156.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.81 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b61backed No | 65c | 150$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac4c…5c69backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 73c | 137.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.58 | 212 | 56.6%120 W · 92 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…3adbbacked No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb72c…abfbbacked No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…cc69backed Yes | 25c | 132.53$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.36 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +4.9wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +259.8%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes | 28c | 123.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.09 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 76c | 106.29$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.78 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 27c | 100.56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.67 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 61c | 87.62$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.45 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 23c | 65.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.48 | 108 | 17.6%19 W · 89 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked No | 58c | 52.42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed No | 58c | 52.42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…0001backed Yes | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 106 | 17.9%19 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5244…23d9backed Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 32c | 43.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed9…bbd3backed No | 68c | 43.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -5.2wins | -0.25per pick | 67cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 32c | 32.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde22…292abacked Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8823…37ccbacked Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…ecf9backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd631…1b97backed No | 80c | 23.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65ff…58dbbacked No | 74c | 16.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -7.7wins | -0.23per pick | 72cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Utrecht vs. FC Twente '65 end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Twente '65 win on 2025-12-07?No won
- Will FC Utrecht win on 2025-12-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.