Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2025-12-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd249d28da878536b9be0939a4b4fc0021db50a67704302025eee1acb3e976d6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,937
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,218
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,937 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 36c | 20,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 64c | 19,985$12,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,194.53 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 13c | 3,049$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.64 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 12c | 1,895$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.39 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 29c | 1,535$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.13 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 13c | 1,306$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.19 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 79c | 699.51$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.94 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked No | 67c | 600$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 65c | 481.7$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.65 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd631…1b97backed Yes | 6c | 416.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 20c | 366.72$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.61 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x303b…53cabacked Yes | 6c | 299.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 78c | 260$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Yes | 34c | 185$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4c…5c69backed Yes | 36c | 139.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…3527backed Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 215 | 40.5%87 W · 128 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc84e…f10abacked Yes | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…5480backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…a73abacked No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0179…d986backed Yes | 36c | 48.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 31c | 44.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 31c | 42.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Yes | 35c | 42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 36c | 42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x844b…2580backed No | 68c | 32.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 65c | 25.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked No | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ff…58dbbacked No | 66c | 17.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Twente '65 win on 2025-12-07?this page
- Will FC Utrecht vs. FC Twente '65 end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FC Utrecht win on 2025-12-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.