Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Utrecht win on 2025-12-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x913383500632de8543a2c9e4480ddd3a3d5ec7f3ea773bb20ec228410e7ea2de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,635
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,453
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,635 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 52c | 5,043$2,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,602.33 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 48c | 4,010$1,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,082.34 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 38c | 3,160$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.77 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked No | 70c | 2,801$1,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 66c | 1,687$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.7 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 67c | 1,161$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.47 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x125e…992cbacked No | 63c | 976.19$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.19 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.27per pick | 66cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 75c | 821.41$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.14 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 64c | 820.17$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Yes | 71c | 714.9$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 33c | 678.45$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.62 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 58c | 592.84$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.39 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 36c | 584.86$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.2 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 29c | 493$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.58 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 63c | 437.94$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.33 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Yes | 39c | 299.98$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.28 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +99%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce1b…b002backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 18c | 233.23$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9d…35f8backed Yes | 40c | 187.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf647…c13ebacked Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4c…5c69backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 39c | 126.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 91 | 20.9%19 W · 72 L | -11.0wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd631…1b97backed Yes | 51c | 117.74$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.51 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 106 | 17.9%19 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b8…5cf9backed No | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked No | 54c | 71.4$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Yes | 38c | 60.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6334…ddf4backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes | 69c | 57.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce04…9496backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 62c | 57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 68c | 54.51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2822…741dbacked Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 37cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 70c | 45.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 212 | 56.6%120 W · 92 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…ab51backed Yes | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ff…58dbbacked Yes | 40c | 29.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…22b8backed Yes | 39c | 28.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 26.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed No | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed No | 51c | 24.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 72c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed No | 61c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +3.5wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Utrecht win on 2025-12-07?this page
- Will FC Twente '65 win on 2025-12-07?No won
- Will FC Utrecht vs. FC Twente '65 end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.