South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Racing Club win on 2025-11-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b5b85d41ac6574ccda4e0f160d9dcd77a4c61fd2c8686c70db1c552751a1291
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,058
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 37c | 1,941$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.48 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 65c | 1,490$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.2 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 49c | 1,116$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.2 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +10.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 50c | 1,093$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.28 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 59c | 878.69$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.63 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed No | 34c | 700$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3b…6ba5backed Yes | 35c | 685.71$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.71 | 76 | 19.7%15 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…f967backed Yes | 25c | 451.64$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.06 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aec…7d3cbacked Yes | 66c | 448.02$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 27c | 339.5$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.27 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…4aeebacked Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 65c | 194.37$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.5 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f2…034bbacked Yes | 16c | 157.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.14 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 30cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed Yes | 66c | 151.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae4e…67e2backed Yes | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes | 34c | 148.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.89 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 34c | 120$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.29 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 65c | 110.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.14 | 86 | 68.6%59 W · 27 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 106.27$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.58 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…8045backed No | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 75c | 97.2$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.85 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 49c | 76$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 67c | 75.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.46 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4162…46cfbacked Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 49cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 35c | 56.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8823…37ccbacked Yes | 22c | 55.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +359.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4b…41d5backed No | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd607…988ebacked Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 58c | 42.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…f4c5backed Yes | 34c | 41.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…c729backed No | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5c…92a8backed Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc906…fe7abacked Yes | 38c | 27.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce3…ff2abacked Yes | 66c | 25.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…eea2backed Yes | 66c | 25.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d7…95d4backed No | 65c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +49%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 64c | 24.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3149…9762backed Yes | 66c | 23.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Racing Club win on 2025-11-24?this page
- Will CA River Plate win on 2025-11-24?No won
- Will Racing Club vs. CA River Plate end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.